Match Info

Date: 28 November 2021, Sunday


	Santiago Wanderers		Audax Italiano

	1	X	2
	4.2	3.5	1.72	Watch
	4.5	3.25	1.83
	4.5	3.4	1.68	Watch
	4.6	3.55	1.72
	4.88	3.49	1.66
	4.75	3.25	1.75	Watch
	4.85	3.82	1.72	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.61 ↓ (6.95)	3.47 ↓ (4.1)	1.73 ↑ (1.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Santiago Wanderers
20%

Draw
26.6%

Audax Italiano
53.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13.2%

22.3%

64.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

11.3%

19.1%

75.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santiago Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Santiago Wanderers's performance.

Audax Italiano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Audax Italiano might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santiago Wanderers than the current prediction. (-8.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Santiago Wanderers that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Audax Italiano than the current prediction. (+22.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Audax Italiano could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Santiago Wanderers - Audax Italiano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Santiago Wanderers has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Audax Italiano is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Audax Italiano is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 17 head-to-head matches Santiago Wanderers won 2 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 17-27.

Including matches at home between the teams Santiago Wanderers won 2 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 13-13.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Santiago Wanderers
Chilean Primera Division
15.11.21	Huachipato - Santiago Wanderers	2:0 ✺
09.11.21	Santiago Wanderers - Curicó Unido	0:3 ✺
06.11.21	Colo-Colo - Santiago Wanderers	3:0 ✺
29.10.21	Santiago Wanderers - Palestino	1:1 ✺
25.10.21	Santiago Wanderers - Deportes Antofagasta	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLLTL
- Audax Italiano
Chilean Primera Division
14.11.21	Audax Italiano - Deportes Antofagasta	0:0 ✺
02.11.21	Everton de Viña - Audax Italiano	1:2 ✺
28.10.21	Audax Italiano - Colo-Colo	2:0 ✺
24.10.21	Huachipato - Audax Italiano	0:0 ✺
19.10.21	Audax Italiano - Ñublense	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22 TWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Primera Division
13.08.21	Audax Italiano - Santiago Wanderers	1:0
24.11.20	Audax Italiano - Santiago Wanderers	1:1
03.03.20	Santiago Wanderers - Audax Italiano	3:3
Chilean Cup
11.06.19	Audax Italiano - Santiago Wanderers	3:1
08.06.19	Santiago Wanderers - Audax Italiano	1:2
Chilean Primera Division
24.09.17	Santiago Wanderers - Audax Italiano	1:3
06.05.17	Audax Italiano - Santiago Wanderers	3:0

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