Match Info

CHILE: Chilean Cup - 1/8-finals

Date: 6 July 2024, Saturday

Location: Estadio Elías Figueroa Brander (Valparaíso)


	Santiago Wanderers		Palestino

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.2	2.1	Watch
	3.2	3.25	1.98
	3.1	3.4	2.15	Watch
	3.34	3.35	2.08
	3.2	3.17	2.29	Watch
	3.3	3.4	2
	3.21	3.34	2.06	Watch
	3.35	3.35	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.24 ↑ (2.81)	3.31 ↓ (3.46)	2.08 ↓ (2.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Santiago Wanderers
28.3%

Draw
27.7%

Palestino
44%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.4%

26.3%

41.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.1%

27.4%

43%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santiago Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Palestino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santiago Wanderers than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Palestino than the current prediction. (-1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	11.1%	88.9%

Santiago Wanderers - Palestino Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Palestino will win (votes: 7 - 87.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Palestino: 64.6% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Miranda E. (G) 24. Ormeno E. 33. Velasquez M. 6. Ortiz D. 23. Leon J. 20. Garrido B. 8. Pereyra J. 22. Opazo D. 17. Valladares J. 11. Valenzuela C. 26. Munoz C. (C)	1. Rigamonti C. (G) 3. Rojas B. 4. Ceza Gavilan A. A. 17. Roman I. 19. Vejar B. 5. Linares N. 7. Carrasco B. (C) 23. Martinez Arce A. E. 10. Davila Carvajal M. 11. Benitez J. 27. Marabel J.
Substitutes
7. Arias D. 5. Barboza A. 10. Canete M. 21. Duma J. 30. Gonzalez C. (G) 14. Ponce C. 18. Silva J. 3. Vasquez K. 9. Vilches Araneda A.	14. Abrigo J. 22. Chamorro F. 2. Espinoza Hevia V. A. 12. Fuentes Lagos G. I. (G) 18. Fuentes M. 15. Montes Romero F. T. 24. Palacio P. 13. Suarez C. 28. Zuniga D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
13', Rojas B. 🟥,
25', Ortiz D. 🟨,
41', 1 - 0, Munoz C. ⚽, Opazo D. (A),
45', Velasquez M. ↓, Barboza A. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
58', 1 - 1, Carrasco B. (Pen),
60', 1 - 2, Linares N. ⚽, Davila Carvajal M. (A),
63', Valenzuela C. ↓, Canete M. ↑,
63', Opazo D. ↓, Duma J. ↑,
69', Valladares J. ↓, Vilches Araneda A. ↑,
69', Ormeno E. ↓, Ponce C. ↑,
71', Benitez J. ↓, Zuniga D. ↑,
73', Martinez Arce A. E. 🟨,
80', 2 - 2, Linares N. (Own goal),
82', Davila Carvajal M. ↓, Suarez C. ↑,
82', Carrasco B. ↓, Chamorro F. ↑,
85', Roman I. 🟨,
90+3', Marabel J. ↓, Fuentes M. ↑,
90+3', Martinez Arce A. E. ↓, Montes Romero F. T. ↑,
90+6', Barboza A. 🟨,

Preview

1st leg.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Santiago Wanderers won 0.

At the moment teams are feeling good and ready to play.

Recently Palestino have a series of guest games.

Palestino will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Santiago Wanderers won 2 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 11 matches and goals 21-39.

Including matches at home between the teams Santiago Wanderers won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 12-21.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Santiago Wanderers
Chilean Cup
29.06.24	Universidad Católica - Santiago Wanderers	2:2 ✺
23.06.24	Santiago Wanderers - Universidad Católica	0:0 ✺
19.06.24	Concón National - Santiago Wanderers	3:5 ✺
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
05.06.24	Santiago Wanderers - San Luis de Quillota	6:0 ✺
01.06.24	Universidad de Concepción - Santiago Wanderers	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.1 TTWWT
- CD Palestino Santiago
Chilean Cup
30.06.24	Palestino - Barnechea	3:0 ✺
23.06.24	Barnechea - Palestino	3:2 ✺
16.06.24	Santiago City - Palestino	0:4 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
06.06.24	Coquimbo Unido - Palestino	0:0 ✺
01.06.24	Audax Italiano - Palestino	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Primera Division
29.10.21	Santiago Wanderers - Palestino	1:1
25.07.21	Palestino - Santiago Wanderers	2:0
16.12.20	Palestino - Santiago Wanderers	3:1
10.03.20	Santiago Wanderers - Palestino	1:2
Chilean Cup
16.06.18	Palestino - Santiago Wanderers	4:3
09.06.18	Santiago Wanderers - Palestino	0:2
Chilean Primera Division
10.12.17	Palestino - Santiago Wanderers	0:0

Upcoming Matches