The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Santiago Wanderers 40.7%
Draw 27.2%
Deportes Concepción 32.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
44.1%
27.8%
28.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
45.1%
28.4%
27.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Santiago Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)
Deportes Concepción has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santiago Wanderers than the current prediction. (+4.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Concepción than the current prediction. (-4.6%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
33.3%
33.3%
33.3%
Santiago Wanderers - Deportes Concepción Predictions
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Santiago Wanderers will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Deportes Concepción will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Miranda E. (G) 17. Herrera A. 3. Margas L. 18. Felipe S. 6. Torres Quintana D. 5. Navarro L. 8. Pereyra J. 20. Silva J. 30. Espinoza E. 10. Luna J. 27. Cuadra M.
25. Araya N. (G) 3. Carrasco D. 31. Kimura N. 24. Espinola J. 16. Sandoval M. 11. Valdivia B. 19. Ovalle J. 26. Morales C. 27. Sepulveda N. 4. Caceres A. 32. Larrivey J.
Substitutes
26. Astroza Zambrano C. A. 39. Avendano L. 23. Gonzalez V. 12. Martinez B. (G) 7. Opazo D. 14. Ponce C. 33. Velasquez M.
9. Escobar C. 30. Fuentes N. 7. Gillard A. 15. Gomez G. (G) 8. Manzo F. 5. Silva S. 20. Zambrano Diego
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
16', Silva J. 🟨,
27', 1 - 0, Silva J. ⚽,
33', 1 - 1, Ovalle J. ⚽,
45+5', 2 - 1, Pereyra J. ⚽,
45+8', Kimura N. 🟨,
45+8', Navarro L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Espinola J. ↓, Zambrano Diego ↑,
65', Sandoval M. 🟨,
66', Cuadra M. ↓, Astroza Zambrano C. A. ↑,
69', Felipe S. 🟥,
71', Sepulveda N. ↓, Gillard A. ↑,
71', Espinoza E. ↓, Gonzalez V. ↑,
79', Luna J. 🟨,
80', 2 - 2, Gillard A. ⚽,
82', Silva J. ↓, Opazo D. ↑,
82', Luna J. ↓, Avendano L. ↑,
82', Pereyra J. ↓, Velasquez M. ↑,
82', Caceres A. ↓, Escobar C. ↑,
Preview
One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Primera (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Primera (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
Deportes Concepción may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Deportes Concepción has had a series of home games.
Santiago Wanderers will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Santiago Wanderers won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 1.3:0.8).
Including home match between the teams, Santiago Wanderers won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
Last Results with these Odds
Santiago Wanderers - the odds 2.1 are the expected chance of winning is 44.1%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.