The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Deportes Concepción 49.4%
Draw 27.6%
Deportes Magallanes 23%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
39.2%
30%
30.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.9%
29.8%
31%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportes Concepción has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Deportes Concepción's performance.
Deportes Magallanes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Deportes Magallanes might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Concepción than the current prediction. (-10.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Deportes Concepción that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes Magallanes than the current prediction. (+8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Deportes Magallanes could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Deportes Concepción will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
25. Araya N. (G) 3. Carrasco D. 24. Espinola J. 26. Morales C. 31. Kimura N. 11. Valdivia B. 16. Sandoval M. 27. Sepulveda N. 7. Gillard A. 19. Ovalle J. 32. Larrivey J. (C)
12. Bernatene M. (G) 4. Vasquez M. 17. Ortega F. 24. Berrios E. 41. James J. 10. Aranguiz T. (C) 14. Valdez B. 21. Quiroz J. 9. Peraza F. 18. Toledo A. 20. Araya M.
Substitutes
6. Astete N. 9. Escobar C. 30. Fuentes N. 8. Manzo F. 1. Munoz J. (G) 10. Nunez F. 20. Zambrano Diego
6. Alucema G. 38. Conelli V. 2. Figueroa D. 1. Martinic A. (G) 22. Morales Olivares M. G. 26. Munoz C. 8. Vicuna M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Ovalle J. ⚽,
18', Kimura N. 🟨,
41', Quiroz J. 🟨,
42', Espinola J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Quiroz J. ↓, Vicuna M. ↑,
58', 1 - 1, Vicuna M. ⚽,
59', 🟨,
63', Sepulveda N. ↓, Manzo F. ↑,
69', Toledo A. ↓, Figueroa D. ↑,
71', Figueroa D. 🟨,
80', Ortega F. 🟨,
81', Araya M. ↓, Munoz C. ↑,
86', Ovalle J. ↓, Escobar C. ↑,
86', Sandoval M. ↓, Zambrano Diego ↑,
86', Peraza F. ↓, Conelli V. ↑,
90', Espinola J. ↓, Nunez F. ↑,
90+2', Nunez F. 🟨,
90+6', Vasquez M. 🟨,
90+8', 2 - 1, Escobar C. ⚽,
90+9', Escobar C. 🟨,
Preview
This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Primera (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 11).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportes Concepción won 2.
Deportes Concepción has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Magallanes is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Deportes Concepción might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Deportes Concepción won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:2. (average 1.3:0.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Deportes Concepción won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:1. (average 2:0.3).
Last Results with these Odds
Deportes Magallanes - the odds 3.02 are the expected chance of winning is 30.78%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.
Watch
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Araya N. (G) 
Espinola J. 
Gillard A. 
Bernatene M. (G) 
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