Match Info

BRAZIL: SERIE D - ROUND 14

Date: 23 July 2023, Sunday


	Santo André		Democrata GV

	1	X	2
	1.73	3.2	4.33
	1.73	3.09	4.77
	1.75	3.38	4.6
	1.72	3.25	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↓ (1.78)	3.23 ↑ (3.1)	4.61 ↑ (4.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Santo André
52.3%

Draw
28.1%

Democrata GV
19.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.8%

29.2%

20%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.3%

31.2%

18.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santo André has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Democrata GV has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santo André than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Democrata GV than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Santo André - Democrata GV Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

The neighbours in a tournament table will play in a very interesting match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).

Santo André is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Democrata GV is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Democrata GV could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Santo André will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Santo André won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Santo André
Brazilian Copa Paulista
19.07.23	Santo André - São Caetano	1:1 ✺
16.07.23	Portuguesa Santista - Santo André	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie D
15.07.23	Vitória ES - Santo André	3:1 ✺
08.07.23	Santo André - Nova Iguaçu	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa Paulista
05.07.23	Santo André - EC São Bernardo	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 TLLWL
- Democrata de Governador Valadares
Brazilian Serie D
17.07.23	Democrata GV - Resende	2:0 ✺
08.07.23	Athletic Club - Democrata GV	1:0 ✺
03.07.23	Democrata GV - Vitória ES	4:2 ✺
24.06.23	Noroeste - Democrata GV	1:2 ✺
19.06.23	Democrata GV - Nova Iguaçu	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
08.05.23	Democrata GV - Santo André	1:1

Santo André - Democrata GV: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide