Match Info

BRAZIL: PAULISTA - ROUND 7

Date: 12 February 2024, Monday

Location: Estádio Bruno José Daniel (Sao Paulo)

Referee: Bellote L. (Bra)


	Santo André		Palmeiras

	1	X	2
	12	5	1.29	Watch
	12	5.25	1.27
	13	5	1.25	Watch
	10.5	5	1.25
	12.59	4.92	1.24
	12	5	1.18
	12.5	5.2	1.24	Watch
	11	4.8	1.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	11.95 ↑ (10)	5.02 ↑ (4.85)	1.25 ↓ (1.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Santo André
7.7%

Draw
18.4%

Palmeiras
73.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

9.3%

19.2%

71.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.6%

73.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santo André has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Palmeiras has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santo André than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

The ML Model estimate for Palmeiras aligns with the current prediction.

Santo André - Palmeiras Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Luiz Daniel (G) 2. Afonso 4. Walce 6. Igor Fernandes 3. Joao Maistro 8. Dudu Vieira 5. Wellington Reis 10. Marciel 7. Geovane 9. Leo Passos 11. Bruno Michel	21. Weverton (G) 15. Gomez G. 13. Luan 32. Garcia 16. Caio Paulista 27. Rios R. 35. Fabinho 8. Ze Rafael 22. Joaquin Piquerez 19. Breno Lopes 42. Flaco Lopez
Substitutes
20. Alexiel 17. Ariel 14. Enzo 18. Felipe Ferreira 24. Jean (G) 19. Lohan 21. Richard 16. Robinho 15. Sousa 12. Wellington Santana (G) 13. Ze Mateus	41. Estevao 25. Gabriel Menino 40. Jhon Jhon 31. Luis Guilherme 14. Marcelo Lomba (G) 2. Marcos Rocha 5. Moreno A. 26. Murilo 34. Naves 23. Raphael Veiga 10. Rony 6. Vanderlan
Coaches
Fernandes M.	Ferreira A.

Preview

Santo André is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Palmeiras is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recently Palmeiras have a series of home games.

In this match Palmeiras is certain favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Santo André won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 1-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Santo André won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Santo André
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
08.02.24	Mirassol - Santo André	4:0 ✺
04.02.24	Santo André - Red Bull Bragantino	1:2 ✺
01.02.24	Botafogo SP - Santo André	1:0 ✺
28.01.24	Santo André - Água Santa	0:0 ✺
25.01.24	Santo André - Grêmio Novorizontino	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LLLTT
- Palmeiras
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
08.02.24	Palmeiras - Ituano	2:0 ✺
Supercopa do Brasil
04.02.24	Palmeiras - São Paulo	0:1 penalties ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
31.01.24	Red Bull Bragantino - Palmeiras	0:1 ✺
28.01.24	Palmeiras - Santos	2:1 ✺
24.01.24	Palmeiras - Internacional de Limeira	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
19.02.22	Palmeiras - Santo André	1:0
02.05.21	Santo André - Palmeiras	0:1
29.07.20	Palmeiras - Santo André	2:0
18.01.18	Palmeiras - Santo André	3:1

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