Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: COPA SUDAMERICANA - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 2

Date: 20 April 2023, Thursday

Location: Estadio Vila Belmiro (Santos)

Referee: Rojas A. (Col)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Brazil	ESPN
Portugal	Sport TV


	Santos		Audax Italiano

	1	X	2
	1.4	4.33	9	Watch
	1.38	4.6	8
	1.36	4.9	8
	1.39	4.69	8.55
	1.33	4.2	9
	1.37	4.75	8.3	Watch
	1.36	4.6	7.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↓ (1.39)	4.58 ↑ (4.4)	8.38 ↑ (7.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Santos
68.4%

Draw
20.4%

Audax Italiano
11.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.5%

21%

12.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.7%

20.3%

12.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Audax Italiano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santos than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Audax Italiano than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	11.1%	22.2%

Santos - Audax Italiano Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Santos will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Audax Italiano will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Santos: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Two teams are playing changeable.

Recently Santos have a series of guest games.

In this match Santos is the unquestionable favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Santos FC
Brazilian Serie A
16.04.23	Grêmio - Santos	1:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
11.04.23	Botafogo SP - Santos	0:2 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
04.04.23	Blooming - Santos	0:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
09.03.23	Santos - Iguatu	3:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
05.03.23	Ituano - Santos	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LWWWL
- Audax Italiano
Chilean Primera Division
16.04.23	Audax Italiano - Universidad de Chile	1:2 ✺
Chilean Cup
09.04.23	Deportes Recoleta - Audax Italiano	2:3 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
04.04.23	Audax Italiano - Newells Old Boys	0:1 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
18.03.23	Unión La Calera - Audax Italiano	0:0 ✺
13.03.23	Audax Italiano - OHiggins	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LWLTT

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