Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: COPA SUDAMERICANA - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 1

Date: 4 April 2023, Tuesday

Location: Estadio El Teniente (Rancagua)

Referee: Tejera G. (Uru)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV


	Audax Italiano		Newells Old Boys

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.2	2.25	Watch
	3.3	3.1	2.25
	3.2	3.2	2.28
	3.43	3.06	2.35
	3.3	3	2.15
	3.38	3.2	2.21	Watch
	3.2	3.05	2.27
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.32 ↓ (3.58)	3.12 ↓ (3.38)	2.25 ↑ (1.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Audax Italiano
28.3%

Draw
30.1%

Newells Old Boys
41.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.9%

27.4%

46.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.8%

26.3%

48.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Audax Italiano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Newells Old Boys has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Newells Old Boys might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Audax Italiano than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newells Old Boys than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Newells Old Boys could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	50%	16.7%

Audax Italiano - Newells Old Boys Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Audax Italiano will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Newells Old Boys will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Audax Italiano could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Newell's Old Boys will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Audax Italiano
Chilean Primera Division
18.03.23	Unión La Calera - Audax Italiano	0:0 ✺
13.03.23	Audax Italiano - OHiggins	2:2 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
07.03.23	Audax Italiano - Universidad Católica	3:2 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
03.03.23	Coquimbo Unido - Audax Italiano	3:1 ✺
27.02.23	Everton de Viña - Audax Italiano	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 TTWLL
- Newells Old Boys
Argentinian Liga Profesional
31.03.23	Estudiantes La Plata - Newells Old Boys	3:0 ✺
20.03.23	Newells Old Boys - San Lorenzo	1:0 ✺
13.03.23	Colón - Newells Old Boys	1:1 ✺
04.03.23	Newells Old Boys - Barracas Central	1:0 ✺
26.02.23	Instituto Córdoba - Newells Old Boys	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LWTWL

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