Match Info

BRAZIL: Paulista - Round 10

Date: 15 February 2025, Saturday

Location: Estádio Nabi Abi Chedid (Bragança Paulista)

Referee: Bellote L. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, IT tv Plus, Max, Nosso Futebol+, Sky+, TNT, UOL Play, Vivo Play, Zapping
Usa	Fanatiz


	Red Bull Bragantino		EC Noroeste

	1	X	2
	1.33	5	9	Watch
	1.33	4.6	7.8	Watch
	1.33	5.05	8.94
	1.34	4.81	8.91	Watch
	1.33	4.5	8.5
	1.31	4.8	9	Watch
	1.33	4.6	7.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↓ (1.34)	4.77 ↑ (4.56)	8.56 ↑ (8.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Red Bull Bragantino
69.7%

Draw
19.4%

EC Noroeste
10.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.5%

20.2%

11.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.4%

12.2%

18.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Red Bull Bragantino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

EC Noroeste has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Red Bull Bragantino than the current prediction. (-28.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Red Bull Bragantino that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for EC Noroeste than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that EC Noroeste could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Red Bull Bragantino - EC Noroeste Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Cleiton (C) 34. Hurtado A. 14. Pedro Henrique 2. Rodriguez G. 29. Juninho Capixaba 35. Matheus Fernandes 6. Gabriel 8. Lucas Evangelista 30. Mosquera H. 19. Eduardo Sasha 10. Jhon Jhon	27. Felipe Alves (G) 2. Cicinho 3. Carlinhos 30. Rodolfo Filemon 12. Felipe Rodrigues 7. Pedro Felipe 5. Jonatas Paulista 21. Matheus Blade 37. Thiago Lopes 26. Dudu Miraima 9. Carlao (C)
Substitutes
18. Borbas T. 3. Eduardo Santos 7. Eric Ramires 11. Fernando 31. Guilherme 22. Gustavo Neves 33. Laquintana I. 40. Lucao (G) 9. Pitta I. 32. Sant'Anna A. 17. Vinicinho 50. Vitinho	51. Adriano Filho 17. Buiu 1. Fernando Henrique (G) 94. Jeferson Romario (G) 99. Jenison 55. Leo Costa 11. Luiz Thiago 66. Maykon Jesus 22. Renan Araujo 58. Silva D.
Coaches
Fernando Seabra	Moises Egert

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
30', 1 - 0, Juninho Capixaba ⚽, Jhon Jhon (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Pedro Felipe ↓, Jenison ↑,
46', Jonatas Paulista ↓, Adriano Filho ↑,
50', 1 - 1, Carlao ⚽, Jenison (A),
59', Lucas Evangelista ↓, Gustavo Neves ↑,
59', Hurtado A. ↓, Sant'Anna A. ↑,
60', Mosquera H. ↓, Vinicinho ↑,
63', 2 - 1, Vinicinho ⚽, Jhon Jhon (A),
67', Cicinho ↓, Maykon Jesus ↑,
76', Jhon Jhon ↓, Pitta I. ↑,
76', Matheus Blade ↓, Leo Costa ↑,
79', Matheus Fernandes ↓, Eric Ramires ↑,
85', Thiago Lopes ↓, Buiu ↑,

Preview

Recent matches RB Bragantino is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Noroeste is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Noroeste could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match RB Bragantino is indisputable favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Red Bull Bragantino
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
11.02.25	Botafogo SP - Red Bull Bragantino	1:0 ✺
08.02.25	Red Bull Bragantino - São Paulo	1:0 ✺
04.02.25	Internacional de Limeira - Red Bull Bragantino	1:1 ✺
31.01.25	Red Bull Bragantino - Grêmio Novorizontino	1:2 ✺
28.01.25	Palmeiras - Red Bull Bragantino	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 LWTLT
- EC Noroeste
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
12.02.25	EC Noroeste - São Bernardo	2:3 ✺
08.02.25	Mirassol - EC Noroeste	1:1 ✺
05.02.25	EC Noroeste - Ponte Preta	1:2 ✺
01.02.25	Corinthians - EC Noroeste	2:1 ✺
29.01.25	EC Noroeste - Internacional de Limeira	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LTLLT

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