Match Info

WORLD: Club Friendly

Date: 13 July 2024, Saturday

Location: Estadio Monumental (Buenos Aires)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	River Plate Montevideo		Olimpia Asuncion

	1	X	2
	1.39	4.4	6
	1.42	4.5	7
	1.4	4.4	6.26
	1.41	4.61	6.23	Watch
	1.35	4.4	7
	1.38	4.45	6.77	Watch
	1.42	4.5	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↓ (1.41)	4.47 ↑ (4.33)	6.61 ↑ (6.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

River Plate Montevideo
65.6%

Draw
20.5%

Olimpia Asuncion
13.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.7%

21.1%

14.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.7%

21.1%

14.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

River Plate Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Olimpia Asuncion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for River Plate Montevideo than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olimpia Asuncion than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

River Plate Montevideo - Olimpia Asuncion Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Ledesma C. (G) 31. Simon S. 33. Gattoni F. 17. Diaz P. 13. Diaz E. 23. Villagra R. 29. Aliendro R. 30. Mastantuono F. 10. Lanzini M. 36. Solari P. 11. Colidio F.	1. Olveira G. (G) 21. Olmedo C. 30. Benitez H. 25. Capasso M. 4. Roman F. 11. Redes R. 20. Franco Zayas A. F. 6. Ortiz R. (C) 26. Barreto Viera O. J. 32. Lopez E. 19. Pratto L.
Substitutes
7. Bareiro A. 41. Beltran S. (G) 2. Boselli S. 16. Carboni F. 20. Casco M. 26. Fernandez N. 4. Fonseca N. 3. Funes Mori R. 14. Gonzalez Pirez L. 5. Kranevitter M. 28. Pena Biafore F. 32. Ruberto A. 22. Zabala D.	8. Arrua C. 3. Benitez H. 9. Bruera F. 38. Cano Esteche A. B. 2. Espinola C. 12. Espinola J. (G) 7. Fernandez H. 27. Ramon Martinez 18. Riveros P. 34. Vera M. 36. Zabala F. 22. Zarza P.
Coaches
Demichelis M.	Palermo M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
27', 1 - 0, Solari P. ⚽, Aliendro R. (A),
36', Benitez H. 🟨,
45', Diaz P. 🟨,
45+1', Olmedo C. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Gattoni F. ↓, Boselli S. ↑,
46', Villagra R. ↓, Pena Biafore F. ↑,
48', 2 - 0, Colidio F. ⚽, Solari P. (A),
55', Diaz E. ↓, Casco M. ↑,
55', Aliendro R. ↓, Fernandez N. ↑,
56', Franco Zayas A. F. ↓, Vera M. ↑,
56', Olmedo C. ↓, Espinola C. ↑,
56', Redes R. ↓, Fernandez H. ↑,
62', Ortiz R. 🟨,
66', 3 - 0, Colidio F. ⚽, Solari P. (A),
67', Ortiz R. ↓, Ramon Martinez ↑,
67', Lopez E. ↓, Zarza P. ↑,
68', Diaz P. ↓, Funes Mori R. ↑,
68', Mastantuono F. ↓, Bareiro A. ↑,
74', Pratto L. ↓, Bruera F. ↑,
74', Benitez H. ↓, Zabala F. ↑,
74', Roman F. ↓, Arrua C. ↑,
78', 3 - 1, Funes Mori R. (Own goal),
79', Lanzini M. ↓, Kranevitter M. ↑,
79', Simon S. ↓, Carboni F. ↑,
79', Solari P. ↓, Ruberto A. ↑,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches River Plate won 0.

Recent matches River Plate is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Olimpia is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

River Plate could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match River Plate is indisputable favorite.

Last 11 head-to-head matches River Plate won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 8-26.

Including matches at home between the teams River Plate won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 2-12.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- River Plate Montevideo
Club Friendly
09.07.24	River Plate Montevideo - Millonarios	1:1 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
07.07.24	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - River Plate Montevideo	1:0 ✺
23.06.24	Montevideo Wanderers - River Plate Montevideo	1:3 ✺
15.06.24	River Plate Montevideo - Deportivo Maldonado	1:1 ✺
09.06.24	Progreso - River Plate Montevideo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 TLWTL
- Olimpia Asuncion
Club Friendly
08.07.24	Independiente - Olimpia Asuncion	1:0 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
05.06.24	Olimpia Asuncion - Libertad Asuncion	1:3 ✺
01.06.24	2 de Mayo - Olimpia Asuncion	1:1 ✺
26.05.24	Olimpia Asuncion - Sportivo Trinidense	1:2 ✺
22.05.24	Sportivo Luqueño - Olimpia Asuncion	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Paraguayan Primera Division
28.11.20	Olimpia Asuncion - River Plate Montevideo	3:1
11.09.20	River Plate Montevideo - Olimpia Asuncion	0:4
08.03.20	Olimpia Asuncion - River Plate Montevideo	1:1
19.10.19	River Plate Montevideo - Olimpia Asuncion	0:1
27.07.19	Olimpia Asuncion - River Plate Montevideo	2:1
14.05.19	River Plate Montevideo - Olimpia Asuncion	2:2
09.03.19	Olimpia Asuncion - River Plate Montevideo	0:0

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