Match Info

BRAZIL: Serie B - Round 29

Date: 28 September 2024, Saturday

Location: Estadio Urbano Caldeira (Santos)

Referee: Pinheiro J. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping


	Santos		Operário Ferroviario

	1	X	2
	1.44	3.9	8.5	Watch
	1.42	3.9	7.75
	1.44	4	8
	1.43	4.15	9.44
	1.45	3.93	8.24
	1.4	4	8.5
	1.43	4.1	8.15	Watch
	1.44	4	8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↓ (1.45)	4 ↑ (3.88)	8.32 ↑ (8.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Santos
65.4%

Draw
23.4%

Operário Ferroviario
11.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.3%

24%

11.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.4%

22.9%

11.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Operário Ferroviario has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santos than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Operário Ferroviario than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Santos - Operário Ferroviario Predictions

Users Predictions: Santos will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
77. Gabriel Brazao (G) 44. Joao Pedro Chermont 4. Gil 32. Jair 31. Escobar G. 5. Joao Schmidt (C) 21. Diego Pituca 20. Giuliano 22. Otero R. 19. Wendell 11. Guilherme	91. Gabriel Mesquita (G) 72. Thales Oleques 3. Allan Godoi 4. Willian Machado 27. Gabriel Feliciano 5. Indio 8. Vinicius Diniz 16. Boschilia 7. Rodrigo Farofa 31. Ronald 90. Ronaldo
Substitutes
12. Diogenes (G) 9. Furch J. 66. Laquintana I. 14. Luan Peres 88. Patrick 7. Pedrinho 8. Rincon T. 29. Rodrigo Ferreira 23. Sandry 37. Serginho 33. Souza 27. Willian Bigode	17. Erik Bessa 11. Felipe Augusto 55. Jacy 30. Joseph 51. Lopes G. (G) 10. Marco Antonio 77. Maxwell 20. Nathan Fogaca 6. Para 19. Rodrigo Lindoso 23. Savio
Coaches
Fabio Carille	Oliveira R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
22', 1 - 0, Giuliano ⚽, Guilherme (A),
36', Vinicius Diniz 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Vinicius Diniz ↓, Jacy ↑,
54', Boschilia ↓, Felipe Augusto ↑,
64', Indio ↓, Rodrigo Lindoso ↑,
64', Ronaldo ↓, Nathan Fogaca ↑,
74', Otero R. ↓, Laquintana I. ↑,
74', Giuliano ↓, Rincon T. ↑,
83', Wendell ↓, Furch J. ↑,
83', Allan Godoi ↓, Marco Antonio ↑,

Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A Betano and 10).

Santos is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Operário PR is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Santos could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Santos is absolute favorite.

There will not play in Santos: Aderlan (Injury) Joao Paulo (Injury) Kevyson (Injury) Rodrigo Falcao (Injury)

Our prediction for today's Santos to win the game is with odds 1.47.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Santos won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Santos FC
Brazilian Serie B
23.09.24	Santos - Grêmio Novorizontino	1:1 ✺
19.09.24	Botafogo SP - Santos	0:1 ✺
15.09.24	Santos - América Mineiro	2:1 ✺
07.09.24	Brusque - Santos	0:1 ✺
30.08.24	Santos - Ponte Preta	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 TWWWT
- Operário Ferroviario
Brazilian Serie B
24.09.24	Operário Ferroviario - Guarani	1:0 ✺
Taça de Portugal
22.09.24	Brito - Operário Ferroviario	1:0 penalties ✺
Brazilian Serie B
18.09.24	Amazonas - Operário Ferroviario	2:1 ✺
15.09.24	Operário Ferroviario - Coritiba	2:1 ✺
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
15.09.24	Moura - Operário Ferroviario	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
14.06.24	Operário Ferroviario - Santos	1:0

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