Match Info

Liga MX - Apertura - Round 9

Date: 21 September 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Corona (Torreón)

Referee: Contreras Q. (Mex)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	Amazon Prime Video, VIX+, ViX Premium
South-america	ViX Latin America
Usa	TUDN App, TUDN


	Santos Laguna		Atlético San Luis

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.6	2.55	Watch
	2.38	3.55	2.72
	2.52	3.68	2.73
	2.55	3.67	2.65	Watch
	2.65	3.55	2.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.51 ↑ (2.34)	3.61 ↑ (3.28)	2.6 ↓ (2.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Santos Laguna
37.6%

Draw
26.1%

Atlético San Luis
36.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.3%

28%

32.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.9%

27.6%

32.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santos Laguna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Atlético San Luis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santos Laguna than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético San Luis than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	100%	0%

Santos Laguna - Atlético San Luis Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Acevedo C. (G) 4. Abella J. (C) 19. Ortega H. 35. Balanta K. 2. Amione B. 5. Lopez A. 6. Guemez J. 20. Palacios K. 7. Dajome C. 99. Barticciotto B. 21. Villalba F.	1. Sanchez A. (G) 2. Torres R. 31. Aguila E. 3. Robson Bambu 8. Sanabria J. (C) 21. Macias O. 19. Salles-Lamonge S. 14. Garcia M. 26. Perez S. 7. Galdames B. 9. Joao Pedro Galvao
Substitutes
9. Carrillo J. 17. Echeverria E. 23. Gutierrez E. 33. Holguin H. (G) 11. Lozano C. 8. Mariscal Murra S. 24. Medina D. 13. Ocejo Zazueta J. A. 22. Prieto R. 26. Sordo R.	25. Barajas F. 18. Cruz A. 4. Dominguez J. 15. Guillen D. 197. Joao Louranco 10. Klimowicz M. 34. Lajud G. (G) 16. Marchand J. 62. Tepa 22. Yan Phillipe
Coaches
Rodriguez F.	Abascal G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
6', Torres R. 🟨,
9', Barticciotto B. (Pen),
37', 0 - 1, Sanabria J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
51', 0 - 2, Galdames B. ⚽,
57', Balanta K. 🟨,
58', Abella J. ↓, Sordo R. ↑,
58', Lopez A. ↓, Carrillo J. ↑,
58', Barticciotto B. ↓, Ocejo Zazueta J. A. ↑,
60', 0 - 3, Joao Pedro Galvao ⚽, Perez S. (A),
62', Villalba F. ↓, Mariscal Murra S. ↑,
63', 1 - 3, Balanta K. ⚽, Sordo R. (A),
65', Garcia M. ↓, Cruz A. ↑,
68', Amione B. ↓, Echeverria E. ↑,
73', 1 - 4, Joao Pedro Galvao ⚽, Sanabria J. (A),
76', Perez S. ↓, Marchand J. ↑,
90', Salles-Lamonge S. ↓, Yan Phillipe ↑,
90', Galdames B. ↓, Joao Louranco ↑,
90', Torres R. ↓, Dominguez J. ↑,

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 13 and 14)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Santos Laguna won 1.

Neither of the teams is performing well right now.

Santos Laguna may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Atlético San Luis: Lopez De Alba C. I. (Knee Injury)

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Santos Laguna won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 24:19. (average 1.5:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Santos Laguna won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:8. (average 1.6:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Santos Laguna
Mexican Liga MX
13.09.25	Atlas - Santos Laguna	2:2 ✺
30.08.25	Santos Laguna - Tigres UANL	0:1 ✺
22.08.25	Juárez - Santos Laguna	2:1 ✺
16.08.25	Cruz Azul - Santos Laguna	3:2 ✺
10.08.25	Santos Laguna - Chivas Guadalajara	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 TLLLW
- Atlético San Luis
Mexican Liga MX
14.09.25	Atlético San Luis - Tijuana	1:1 ✺
29.08.25	Atlético San Luis - Toluca	1:3 ✺
22.08.25	Querétaro - Atlético San Luis	3:2 ✺
15.08.25	Puebla - Atlético San Luis	0:2 ✺
11.08.25	Atlético San Luis - Cruz Azul	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 TLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga MX
30.03.25	Santos Laguna - Atlético San Luis	2:3
28.09.24	Atlético San Luis - Santos Laguna	3:1
28.04.24	Santos Laguna - Atlético San Luis	0:3
11.11.23	Atlético San Luis - Santos Laguna	0:2
18.02.23	Atlético San Luis - Santos Laguna	1:1
28.08.22	Santos Laguna - Atlético San Luis	4:1
01.05.22	Atlético San Luis - Santos Laguna	1:3

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