The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Santos Laguna 21.8%
Draw 23.3%
Club León 54.9%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
26.7%
25.2%
48.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
26.6%
25.3%
48.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Santos Laguna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)
Club León has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Club León's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santos Laguna than the current prediction. (+4.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Club León than the current prediction. (-6.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Club León, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Santos Laguna - Club León Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Mendoza K. (G) 21. Soto F. 29. Lopez G. 4. Vaka L. 3. Pickard S. 14. Dorantes A. 7. Rodriguez D. (C) 10. Rodriguez K. 24. Gonzalez Rendon I. A. 25. Diaz N. 9. Calvillo S.
23. Acuna N. S. (C) 34. Aleman V. 12. Lien Le C. 4. Lozada A. 3. Arias D. 6. Razo V. 22. Cortes S. 11. Arteaga S. 2. Garcia M. 10. Lemos S. 9. Bolanos V.
Substitutes
26. Arias A. 44. Cisneros E. 11. De Leon K. 13. Gomez A. 16. Guevara Ortega C. 6. Ibarra H. 65. Reyna D. 23. Rivas T. (G) 20. Romero Torres L. M. 2. Villa Cuellar S.
27. Aleman I. 1. Buenfil N. R. (G) 7. De La Rosa J. 30. Esquivias I. 5. Gutierrez D. 29. Jasso K. 17. Pinilla F. 16. Rausch Tamayo M. A. 26. Roman M. 15. Soto K.
Coaches
Lazcano J.
Corona A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
8', 1 - 0, Diaz N. ⚽, Dorantes A. (A),
43', 1 - 1, Arteaga S. ⚽, Lien Le C. (A),
45+1', Razo V. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Razo V. ↓, Rausch Tamayo M. A. ↑,
51', Diaz N. 🟨,
66', 1 - 2, Bolanos V. ⚽, Lemos S. (A),
68', Garcia M. ↓, Soto K. ↑,
68', Bolanos V. ↓, Roman M. ↑,
68', Rodriguez D. ↓, Guevara Ortega C. ↑,
70', Cortes S. ↓, Pinilla F. ↑,
78', Arias D. ↓, Gutierrez D. ↑,
82', Soto K. 🟨,
90', Rodriguez K. ↓, De Leon K. ↑,
90', Dorantes A. ↓, Arias A. ↑,
90+5', Soto F. 🟨,
Preview
A balanced mid-table encounter with both sides eager to climb into upper positions (ranked 6th and 5th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Santos Laguna won 1.
Santos Laguna is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Performances by León have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
León may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Bookmakers give the edge to León for this game.
In the last 18 head-to-head meetings, Santos Laguna has recorded 2 wins, 4 draws, and 12 losses, with a goal aggregate of 21:35 (averaging 1.2:1.9 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Santos Laguna against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 3 draws, and 5 losses, with 12:13 goals (averaging 1.3:1.4 per game).
Mexico
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Mendoza K. (G) 
Soto F. 
Vaka L. 
Pickard S. 
Arias D. 
Lemos S. 
Villa Cuellar S. 
Pinilla F. 
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