Match Info

Liga MX - Clausura - Round 6

Date: 15 February 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Corona (Torreón) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Mexico	17:00	VIX+, ViX Premium
South America	—	ViX Latin America


	Santos Laguna		Mazatlan

	1	X	2
	1.86	3.7	3.9	Watch
	1.88	3.6	3.8
	1.92	3.55	3.7	Watch
	2	3.74	3.9
	1.91	3.76	3.79	Watch
	1.85	3.3	3.5
	1.91	3.58	3.7	Watch
	1.92	3.75	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↑ (1.81)	3.62 ↓ (3.81)	3.76 ↓ (3.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Santos Laguna
49.2%

Draw
25.9%

Mazatlan
24.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

51.3%

24.4%

24.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.4%

20.7%

28.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santos Laguna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Mazatlan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santos Laguna than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Santos Laguna that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mazatlan than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Santos Laguna - Mazatlan Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Santos Laguna will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Mazatlan will win (votes: 3 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Santos Laguna (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Acevedo C. (G) 4. Abella J. (C) 35. Balanta K. 14. Orona E. 19. Ortega H. 11. Gruezo C. 21. Villalba F. 77. Palacios K. 10. Bullaude E. 7. Dajome C. 9. Di Yorio L.	33. Rodriguez R. (G) 21. Santos S. 4. Diaz J. 5. Almada F. 19. Merolla L. 14. Zaleta M. 25. Godinez S. 23. Sierra J. (C) 11. Barcenas Y. 7. Dudu 15. Rubio B.
Substitutes
2. Amione B. 17. Echeverria E. 6. Guemez J. 33. Holguin H. (G) 29. Jimenez T. 5. Lopez A. 8. Mariscal Murra S. 24. Medina D. 13. Ocejo Zazueta J. A. 28. Perez J.	13. Alcaraz Diaz V. A. (G) 202. Ben Rhouma A. 3. Franco R. 199. Gonzalez I. 22. Herrera A. 20. Lainez M. 193. Lopez G. 10. Moreno Villegas O. F. 17. Ovalle J. 31. Saavedra Nevarez A. A.
Coaches
Rodriguez F.	Bueno S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
17', 1 - 0, Di Yorio L. (Penalty Awarded),
43', 1 - 1, Almada F. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
53', 1 - 2, Zaleta M. ⚽, Dudu (A),
59', Gruezo C. ↓, Mariscal Murra S. ↑,
65', Moreno Villegas O. F. ↓, Saavedra Nevarez A. A. ↑,
67', Abella J. ↓, Medina D. ↑,
67', Ortega H. ↓, Echeverria E. ↑,
71', Dudu ↓, Ovalle J. ↑,
80', Diaz J. 🟨,
82', Dajome C. ↓, Jimenez T. ↑,
83', Rubio B. ↓, Ben Rhouma A. ↑,
83', Zaleta M. ↓, Lainez M. ↑,
90+5', Ovalle J. 🟨,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 17 and 18).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Santos Laguna won 1.

Neither of the teams could find their winning rhythm in recent games.

In this match, Santos Laguna is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Santos Laguna: Lozano C. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Santos Laguna: Orona E. (Injury)

There are questionable in Mazatlan: Castro C. (Injury)

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Santos Laguna won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 22:14. (average 1.5:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Santos Laguna won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:2. (average 1.7:0.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Santos Laguna	13	6	1	6	19:16	3	19

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Santos Laguna
Mexican Liga MX
06.02.26	Tigres UANL - Santos Laguna	5:1 ✺
30.01.26	UNAM - Santos Laguna	4:0 ✺
18.01.26	Santos Laguna - Juárez	2:2 ✺
14.01.26	Toluca - Santos Laguna	3:1 ✺
10.01.26	Santos Laguna - Necaxa	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLTLL
- Mazatlan FC
Mexican Liga MX
06.02.26	Mazatlan - Chivas Guadalajara	1:2 ✺
31.01.26	Atlas - Mazatlan	1:0 ✺
16.01.26	Mazatlan - Monterrey	1:5 ✺
13.01.26	Puebla - Mazatlan	2:1 ✺
09.01.26	Mazatlan - Juárez	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
23.12.25	Santos Laguna - Mazatlan	1:1
Mexican Liga MX
21.10.25	Mazatlan - Santos Laguna	2:2
14.02.25	Mazatlan - Santos Laguna	1:1
25.10.24	Santos Laguna - Mazatlan	0:0
25.02.24	Santos Laguna - Mazatlan	1:0
23.11.23	Santos Laguna - Mazatlan	2:1
01.11.23	Mazatlan - Santos Laguna	3:1

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