Match Info

Date: 18 June 2022, Saturday

Location: Estadio Eva Peron (Junin)

Referee: Herrera D. (Arg)


	Sarmiento de Junín		Patronato Parana

	1	X	2
	2.62	3	2.9
	2.65	2.9	2.85
	2.48	3.05	2.9
	2.65	2.85	2.85
	2.75	2.97	3
	2.55	3	2.88
	2.65	3.13	2.85	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.62 ↓ (2.7)	2.99 ↓ (3.08)	2.89 ↑ (2.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sarmiento de Junín
35.9%

Draw
31.5%

Patronato Parana
32.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.2%

30.8%

34%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.6%

32.3%

35.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sarmiento de Junín has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Patronato Parana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sarmiento de Junín than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Patronato Parana than the current prediction. (+3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	36.7%	30%

Sarmiento de Junín - Patronato Parana Predictions

Users Predictions: 30 users predict this event. Sarmiento will win (votes: 10 - 33.3%). Patronato will win (votes: 9 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 36.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 19.5% – 53.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 22 and 16).

Patronato has the most likely position - 23 (100%), has project points - 25, has currently - 25, has not chance of win league.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sarmiento de Junín won 1.

Sarmiento de Junín is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Patronato is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Patronato could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

There will not play in Sarmiento de Junín: Acosta L. (Injury)

Last 12 head-to-head matches Sarmiento de Junín won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 12-18.

Including matches at home between the teams Sarmiento de Junín won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sarmiento de Junín
Argentinian Liga Profesional
14.06.22	Estudiantes La Plata - Sarmiento de Junín	2:1 ✺
11.06.22	Sarmiento de Junín - Argentinos Juniors	1:0 ✺
05.06.22	Talleres de Córdoba - Sarmiento de Junín	2:0 ✺
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
08.05.22	Talleres de Córdoba - Sarmiento de Junín	1:0 ✺
Copa Argentina
04.05.22	Sarmiento de Junín - Deportivo Flandria	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LWLLL
- Patronato Parana
Argentinian Liga Profesional
14.06.22	Patronato Parana - Aldosivi	1:0 ✺
10.06.22	Gimnasia La Plata - Patronato Parana	2:0 ✺
04.06.22	Patronato Parana - Vélez Sársfield	1:1 ✺
Copa Argentina
12.05.22	Patronato Parana - Deportivo Morón	2:0 ✺
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
08.05.22	Defensa y Justicia - Patronato Parana	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
05.03.22	Patronato Parana - Sarmiento de Junín	0:1
Argentinian Liga Profesional
25.07.21	Patronato Parana - Sarmiento de Junín	2:0
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
24.04.21	Patronato Parana - Sarmiento de Junín	1:0
Argentinian Liga Profesional
22.06.17	Sarmiento de Junín - Patronato Parana	1:3
14.05.17	Patronato Parana - Sarmiento de Junín	2:2
09.05.16	Sarmiento de Junín - Patronato Parana	1:0
Argentinian Primera Nacional
01.11.14	Sarmiento de Junín - Patronato Parana	1:0

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