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Current Win Probability
Sarmiento de La Banda 49.4%
Draw 29.4%
General San Martín de Formosa 21.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
47.6%
27.7%
24.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49.5%
26.6%
23.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sarmiento de La Banda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
General San Martín de Formosa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sarmiento de La Banda than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for General San Martín de Formosa than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
Sarmiento de La Banda - General San Martín de Formosa Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Acuna F. (G) 4. Diaz C. 10. Diaz Cantoni M. 9. Garzon I. 6. Guzman G. 2. Nunez C. 11. Ochoa A. 5. Sanchez Arriola M. 3. Sanchez M. 8. Tevez A. 7. Veliz R.
1. Humeler K. (G) 11. Alegre G. 5. Bobadilla M. 7. Ceratto L. 4. Finardi B. 3. Griego A. 6. Leiva D. 10. Nunez G. 2. Piris O. 9. Siergiejuk M. 8. Tapia R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
22', 🟨,
31', 1 - 0, Guzman G. ⚽,
45+15', 2 - 0, Veliz R. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
50', 🟨,
73', 🟨,
73', 🟨,
Preview
Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Winners stage: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Winners stage: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sarmiento La Banda won 2.
Sarmiento La Banda is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
San Martín Formosa has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Sarmiento La Banda may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Sarmiento La Banda could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Sarmiento La Banda won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 0.9:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Sarmiento La Banda won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0. (average 1:0).
Last Results with these Odds
General San Martín de Formosa - the odds 3.65 are the expected chance of winning is 24.67%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.