Match Info

Date: 19 September 2022, Monday


	Sarmiento de Resistencia		Douglas Haig

	1	X	2
	1.44	3.8	6.5
	1.42	3.8	7
	1.45	3.8	6.4
	1.38	3.89	7.62
	1.36	4	7.5
	1.36	4.15	8	Watch
	1.43	4.1	6.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↓ (1.71)	3.93 ↑ (3.21)	7.12 ↑ (4.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sarmiento de Resistencia
64.3%

Draw
23%

Douglas Haig
12.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.8%

28.2%

19%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.8%

27.7%

18.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sarmiento de Resistencia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sarmiento de Resistencia's performance.

Douglas Haig has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Douglas Haig might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sarmiento de Resistencia than the current prediction. (-10.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sarmiento de Resistencia that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Douglas Haig than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Douglas Haig could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Sarmiento de Resistencia - Douglas Haig Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

The great teams are gonna meet at this game. The most expected match between two teams from the very top of the group (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Promotion ~ Play Offs) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Promotion ~ Play Offs)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sarmiento won 2.

Sarmiento is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Douglas Haig is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Sarmiento could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Sarmiento is certain favorite.

Our prediction for today's Sarmiento to win the game is with odds 1.49.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Sarmiento won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Sarmiento won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sarmiento de Resistencia
Argentinian Torneo Federal
05.09.22	Sportivo Belgrano - Sarmiento de Resistencia	1:0 ✺
01.09.22	Sarmiento de Resistencia - Racing de Córdoba	1:0 ✺
24.08.22	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay - Sarmiento de Resistencia	0:1 ✺
20.08.22	Sarmiento de Resistencia - Juventud Unida Gualeguaychu	2:1 ✺
13.08.22	Boca Unidos - Sarmiento de Resistencia	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 LWWWW
- CA Douglas Haig
Argentinian Torneo Federal
12.09.22	Douglas Haig - Sportivo Belgrano	1:0 ✺
06.09.22	Racing de Córdoba - Douglas Haig	3:0 ✺
28.08.22	Douglas Haig - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay	2:0 ✺
24.08.22	Juventud Unida Gualeguaychu - Douglas Haig	3:0 ✺
20.08.22	Douglas Haig - Boca Unidos	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Torneo Federal
12.06.22	Douglas Haig - Sarmiento de Resistencia	0:0
19.09.21	Douglas Haig - Sarmiento de Resistencia	2:1
19.06.21	Sarmiento de Resistencia - Douglas Haig	1:0
22.01.21	Douglas Haig - Sarmiento de Resistencia	0:2
13.12.20	Sarmiento de Resistencia - Douglas Haig	0:1
24.10.19	Douglas Haig - Sarmiento de Resistencia	2:1

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