Match Info

Serie C - Group B - Round 4

Date: 13 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Vanni Sanna (Sassari)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Sassari Torres		Ostia Mare

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.95	3.10	3.40
	1.98	3.15	3.65	Watch
	2.1	3.25	3.63
	2.02	3.15	3.63	Watch
	2.03	3.05	3.55
	2.04	3.04	3.54	Watch
	1.97	3.2	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↓ (2.15)	3.13 ↑ (2.95)	3.57 ↑ (3.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sassari Torres
45.3%

Draw
29.1%

Ostia Mare
25.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42%

30.6%

27.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.1%

26.3%

31.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sassari Torres has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Ostia Mare has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sassari Torres than the current prediction. (-9.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sassari Torres that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ostia Mare than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ostia Mare could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Sassari Torres - Ostia Mare Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Zaccagno A. (G) 3. Berto G. 23. Antonelli N. 6. Nunziatini F. 8. Masala A. 18. Pennington N. 4. Brentan M. 20. Lunghi A. 32. Carboni M. 9. Scotto L. (C) 7. Di Stefano L.	1. Vertua F. (G) 4. Piroli D. (C) 5. Giordani P. 13. Brosco R. 66. Castaldo A. 77. Tosku F. 32. Casolari F. 6. Buono D. 71. Carbone F. 11. Parigini V. 9. Tonin R.
Substitutes
11. Bunino C. 33. Fini F. 5. Giorico D. 26. Kebbeh M. 15. Liviero M. 10. Mastinu G. 42. Mulas M. 40. Pinna I. 30. Sanat A. 17. Sotgiu M. 1. Tirelli D. (G)	10. Badje I. 30. Donsah G. 12. Fabiano A. (G) 14. Galastri F. 16. Gerbaudo M. 8. Greco D. 22. Morlupo A. (G) 3. Orfano M. 23. Spinosa M. 24. Tesauro E. 19. Wade I.
Coaches
Greco A.	D'Antoni D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
4', Casolari F. 🟨,
17', 0 - 1, Parigini V. (Penalty Awarded),
30', Buono D. 🟨,
45+1', Scotto L. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (3 - 1)
46', Pennington N. ↓, Mastinu G. ↑,
54', Parigini V. ↓, Badje I. ↑,
56', Carboni M. ↓, Bunino C. ↑,
60', Piroli D. ↓, Gerbaudo M. ↑,
61', Buono D. ↓, Donsah G. ↑,
63', Castaldo A. 🟨,
64', 1 - 1, Di Stefano L. ⚽, Nunziatini F. (A),
66', 2 - 1, Di Stefano L. ⚽, Scotto L. (A),
67', 🟨,
74', Masala A. 🟨,
75', Masala A. ↓, Liviero M. ↑,
77', Tosku F. ↓, Galastri F. ↑,
77', Castaldo A. ↓, Spinosa M. ↑,
82', Scotto L. ↓, Giorico D. ↑,
87', 3 - 1, Di Stefano L. ⚽, Bunino C. (A),
89', 3 - 2, Badje I. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Torres won 3.

Torres has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Ostia Mare has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Ostia Mare may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, the opponents have had a series of away games.

Torres will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Torres won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:6. (average 1.3:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Torres won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Torres	8	3	3	2	9:9	0	12
13	Ostiamare	8	2	2	4	9:10	-1	8

Last Results with these Odds

Sassari Torres - the odds 2.15 are the expected chance of winning is 42.01%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sassari Torres 1903
Italian Serie C Group B
06.09.26	Grosseto - Sassari Torres	2:0 ✺
29.08.26	Sassari Torres - Sambenedettese	1:0 ✺
24.08.26	Livorno - Sassari Torres	2:1 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
16.08.26	Spezia - Sassari Torres	4:1 ✺
Club Friendly
05.08.26	Ossese - Sassari Torres	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LWLLW
- AS Ostia Mare Lido Calcio
Italian Serie C Group B
05.09.26	Vis Pesaro - Ostia Mare	1:2 ✺
29.08.26	Ostia Mare - Grosseto	1:2 ✺
23.08.26	Perugia - Ostia Mare	1:0 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
16.08.26	Latina - Ostia Mare	2:1 penalties ✺
Club Friendly
05.08.26	Lazio - Ostia Mare	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group G
06.03.22	Sassari Torres - Ostia Mare	1:0
24.10.21	Ostia Mare - Sassari Torres	1:2
26.01.20	Ostia Mare - Sassari Torres	1:1
22.09.19	Sassari Torres - Ostia Mare	2:2
13.02.19	Sassari Torres - Ostia Mare	1:0
24.10.18	Ostia Mare - Sassari Torres	2:1
14.02.16	Ostia Mare - Sassari Torres	0:1

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