Match Info

Serie D - Group I - Round 19

Date: 11 January 2026, Sunday


	Savoia		Acireale

	1	X	2
	2.12	3.35	2.92
	1.49	3.97	5.94	Watch
	1.44	3.92	6.57
	2.17	3.4	2.99
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↓ (2.12)	3.66 ↑ (3.35)	4.61 ↑ (2.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Savoia
53%

Draw
26.2%

Acireale
20.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.4%

26.8%

30.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.8%

25.9%

29.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Savoia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Savoia's performance.

Acireale has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Acireale might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Savoia than the current prediction. (-9.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Savoia that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Acireale than the current prediction. (+9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Acireale could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Savoia - Acireale Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
10', 0 - 1, ⚽,
19', 1 - 1, ⚽,
40', 2 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
76', 2 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 14 in the zone Serie D ~ Group I (Play Out: )).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Savoia could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Savoia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2.

Including home match between the teams, Savoia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Savoia
Italian Serie D - Group I
04.01.26	Gela - Savoia	1:2 ✺
21.12.25	Sancataldese - Savoia	3:1 ✺
14.12.25	Savoia - Athletic Palermo	2:1 ✺
07.12.25	Igea Virtus Barcellona - Savoia	1:0 ✺
30.11.25	Savoia - Vigor Lamezia	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WLWLW
- Acireale Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group I
04.01.26	Acireale - Vigor Lamezia	1:1 ✺
21.12.25	Acireale - Vibonese	2:2 ✺
14.12.25	Ragusa - Acireale	2:0 ✺
07.12.25	Acireale - Gelbison Cilento	0:1 ✺
30.11.25	Nissa - Acireale	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 TTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group I
22.12.19	Savoia - Acireale	4:2

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