Match Info

GERMANY: 2. Bundesliga - Round 4

Date: 1 September 2024, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Veltins Arena (Gelsenkirchen) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Asia	—	TOD
Australia	21:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Belgium	13:30	DAZN 1, Play Sports 1
Bulgaria	14:30	Diema Sport, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	07:30	DAZN Canada
Czech Republic	13:30	Nova Sport 3
Denmark	13:30	Viaplay
Finland	14:30	Elisa Viihde, Veikkaus TV, Viaplay
Germany	13:30	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, WOW
Iceland	11:30	Viaplay
Israel	14:30	Sport 3
Laos	18:30	beIN Connect
Malta	13:30	GO TV, TSN Malta 5
Netherlands	13:30	Viaplay
Norway	13:30	Viaplay
Poland	13:30	Viaplay
Romania	14:30	Prima Sport 1
Russia	14:30	MATCH! Futbol 3, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	13:30	Nova Sport
Slovakia	13:30	Sport TV2, Voyo
Sweden	13:30	Viaplay
Switzerland	13:30	Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2
Thailand	18:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Turkey	14:30	beIN Connect, Tivibu Spor 2
Usa	07:30	ESPN App, ESPN+
International	11:30	Onefootball app, Sky Sports app


	Schalke 04		Köln

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.6	2.15	Watch
	3	3.75	2.15
	2.95	3.6	2.2	Watch
	3.13	3.85	2.21
	3.13	3.81	2.21	Watch
	2.9	3.8	2.1
	3.06	3.94	2.12	Watch
	2.95	3.6	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.03 ↑ (2.8)	3.74 ↓ (3.9)	2.17 ↓ (2.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Schalke 04
31.2%

Draw
25.2%

Köln
43.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

33.8%

24.2%

42%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.1%

23.7%

42.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Schalke 04 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Köln has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Schalke 04 than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Köln than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	21.4%	21.4%

Schalke 04 - Köln Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Schalke will win (votes: 8 - 61.5%). Köln will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Schalke: 35% – 88%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
28. Heekeren J. (G) 17. Gantenbein A. 22. Cisse I. 6. Schallenberg R. 5. Murkin D. J. 14. Bachmann J. 7. Seguin P. 24. Hamache I. 19. Karaman K. (C) 29. Mohr T. 9. Sylla M.	40. Urbig J. (G) 29. Thielmann J. (C) 3. Heintz D. 24. Pauli J. 17. Paqarada L. 7. Ljubicic D. 6. Martel E. 8. Huseinbasic D. 37. Maina L. 19. Lemperle T. 42. Downs D.
Substitutes
18. Antwi-Adjei C. 23. Aydin M. 30. Donkor A. 37. Gruger M. 1. Hoffmann R. (G) 35. Kaminski M. 2. Sanchez F. 21. Wasinski M. 8. Younes A.	23. Adamyan S. 38. Bakatukanda E. 18. Carstensen R. 43. Cuber Potocnik J. 16. Obuz M. 47. Olesen M. 1. Schwabe M. (G) 21. Tigges S. 9. Waldschmidt L.
Coaches
Geraerts K.	Struber G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
25', 0 - 1, Downs D. ⚽, Ljubicic D. (A),
45+1', 0 - 2, Maina L. ⚽, Downs D. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Hamache I. ↓, Antwi-Adjei C. ↑,
46', 0 - 3, Lemperle T. ⚽, Paqarada L. (A),
53', Pauli J. 🟨,
58', Martel E. 🟨,
58', Seguin P. ↓, Younes A. ↑,
58', Gantenbein A. ↓, Aydin M. ↑,
66', 1 - 3, Karaman K. (Pen),
67', Cisse I. 🟨,
71', Heintz D. ↓, Bakatukanda E. ↑,
78', Bakatukanda E. 🟨,
82', Lemperle T. ↓, Tigges S. ↑,
85', Thielmann J. 🟨,
85', Mohr T. ↓, Donkor A. ↑,
90', Downs D. ↓, Waldschmidt L. ↑,
90+3', Aydin M. 🟨,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Schalke won 0.

Recent matches Schalke is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Köln is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Köln could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Schalke have a series of guest games.

Köln will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 18 head-to-head matches Schalke won 3 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 19-31.

Including matches at home between the teams Schalke won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 7-13.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Schalke 04
German 2 Bundesliga
25.08.24	Magdeburg - Schalke 04	2:2 ✺
German DFB Pokal
17.08.24	VfR Aalen - Schalke 04	0:2 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
10.08.24	Nürnberg - Schalke 04	3:1 ✺
03.08.24	Schalke 04 - Eintracht Braunschweig	5:1 ✺
Club Friendly
24.07.24	Twente - Schalke 04	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 TWLWT
- 1. FC Köln
German 2 Bundesliga
24.08.24	Köln - Eintracht Braunschweig	5:0 ✺
German DFB Pokal
18.08.24	Sandhausen - Köln	2:3 ET ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
10.08.24	Elversberg - Köln	2:2 ✺
02.08.24	Köln - Hamburger SV	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
27.07.24	Udinese - Köln	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WWTLW

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
29.01.23	Schalke 04 - Köln	0:0
07.08.22	Köln - Schalke 04	3:1
Club Friendly
27.01.22	Köln - Schalke 04	2:2
German Bundesliga
22.05.21	Köln - Schalke 04	1:0
20.01.21	Schalke 04 - Köln	1:2
29.02.20	Köln - Schalke 04	3:0
05.10.19	Schalke 04 - Köln	1:1

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