Match Info

2. Bundesliga - Round 6

Date: 20 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Avnet-Arena (Magdeburg)

Referee: Bickel F. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Magdeburg		Schalke 04

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.4	3.1	Watch
	2.25	3.35	2.98
	2.29	3.65	3.21
	40.00	17.81	1.01	Watch
	2.27	3.72	2.92	Watch
	2.25	3.5	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.55 ↑ (2.27)	5.91 ↑ (3.3)	2.7 ↓ (3.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Magdeburg
17.8%

Draw
25.8%

Schalke 04
56.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.9%

28.8%

29.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.2%

29.7%

28.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Magdeburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-24.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Magdeburg's form might have worsened.

Schalke 04 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+27.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Schalke 04's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Magdeburg than the current prediction. (+25.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Magdeburg, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Schalke 04 than the current prediction. (-28%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Schalke 04, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	0%	57.1%

Magdeburg - Schalke 04 Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Magdeburg will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Schalke will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Magdeburg (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Schalke (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH +0.25 - Schalke (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Magdeburg (votes: 1 - 25%). Schalke (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Reimann D. (C) 28. Geschwill M. 16. Mathisen M. 24. Hugonet J. 19. Musonda L. 38. Hyrylainen L. 8. Ulrich L. 17. Nollenberger A. 29. Ghrieb R. 11. Holmstrom A. 23. Atik B.	1. Karius L. (G) 5. Becker T. 25. Katic N. 4. Kurucay H. 17. Gantenbein A. 6. Schallenberg R. 23. El-Faouzi S. 33. Becker V. 7. Gomis C. 19. Karaman K. (C) 9. Sylla M.
Substitutes
9. Breunig M. 4. Dzogovic E. 25. Gnaka S. 27. Hercher P. 40. Kampa R. (G) 5. Muller T. 45. Onaiwu A. 10. Pesch N. 6. Stalmach D.	18. Antwi-Adjei C. 43. Ayhan M. 14. Bachmann J. 28. Heekeren J. (G) 11. Lasme B. 41. Matriciani H. 27. Porath F. 2. Sanchez F. 16. Zalazar M.
Coaches
Fiedler M.	Muslic M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
10', 0 - 1, Karaman K. ⚽, El-Faouzi S. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Geschwill M. ↓, Muller T. ↑,
46', Hyrylainen L. ↓, Stalmach D. ↑,
55', Ghrieb R. 🟨,
56', 0 - 2, Karaman K. (Pen),
65', Katic N. 🟨,
70', Holmstrom A. ↓, Breunig M. ↑,
71', Gomis C. ↓, Bachmann J. ↑,
79', Gantenbein A. ↓, Porath F. ↑,
79', Sylla M. ↓, Lasme B. ↑,
79', Schallenberg R. ↓, Antwi-Adjei C. ↑,
80', Mathisen M. ↓, Onaiwu A. ↑,
88', Ghrieb R. ↓, Hercher P. ↑,
89', Becker T. ↓, Ayhan M. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ 3. Liga and 7).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Magdeburg may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Magdeburg has had a series of away games.

Magdeburg will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Magdeburg: Baars M. (Concussion) Bockhorn H. (Muscle Injury) Chahed T. (Muscle Injury) Diawara K. (Lacking Match Fitness) Loric S. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Schalke: Amoussou-Tchibara Z. (Knee Injury) Gruger M. (Foot Injury) Hojlund E. (Heel Injury) Kalas T. (Knock) Remmert P. (Ankle Injury)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Magdeburg won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 13:8. (average 2.6:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Magdeburg won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 1.7:0.7).

Last Results with these Odds

Schalke 04 - the odds 3.25 are the expected chance of winning is 29.27%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Magdeburg
German 2 Bundesliga
12.09.25	Arminia Bielefeld - Magdeburg	2:0 ✺
31.08.25	Magdeburg - Greuther Fürth	4:5 ✺
23.08.25	Hannover - Magdeburg	3:1 ✺
German DFB Pokal
15.08.25	Saarbrücken - Magdeburg	1:3 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
09.08.25	Dynamo Dresden - Magdeburg	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LLLWW
- Schalke 04
German 2 Bundesliga
13.09.25	Schalke 04 - Holstein Kiel	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
05.09.25	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Schalke 04	2:0 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
31.08.25	Dynamo Dresden - Schalke 04	0:1 ✺
23.08.25	Schalke 04 - Bochum	2:1 ✺
German DFB Pokal
17.08.25	Lokomotive Leipzig - Schalke 04	0:1 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
01.02.25	Schalke 04 - Magdeburg	2:5
25.08.24	Magdeburg - Schalke 04	2:2
24.02.24	Magdeburg - Schalke 04	3:0
16.09.23	Schalke 04 - Magdeburg	4:3
Club Friendly
27.07.12	Magdeburg - Schalke 04	N/A

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