Match Info

Bundesliga - Round 4

Date: 20 September 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Veltins Arena (Gelsenkirchen) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Braun R. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	Azam Sports 1, StarTimes App, Startimes World Football
Albania	17:30	Tring Sport 4
Argentina	12:30	Disney+
Australia	01:30	beIN Connect
Austria	17:30	DAZN 2, DAZN
Belgium	17:30	Play Sports 1, Play Sports 2
Bosnia And Herzegovina	17:30	Arena Sport 4P
Bulgaria	18:30	Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	11:30	DAZN Canada, OneSoccer
Chile	12:30	Disney+
Colombia	10:30	Disney+
Croatia	17:30	SportKlub 6
Czech Republic	17:30	Nova Sport 3, Oneplay
Denmark	17:30	TV3 MAX, Viaplay
Finland	18:30	Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay
France	17:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 5
Georgia	19:30	Setanta Sports 2
Germany	17:30	DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2, DAZN Deutsch
Greece	18:30	Nova Sports 3
Hong Kong	23:30	beIN Sports 2, beIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live, Now Player
Iceland	15:30	Viaplay
India	21:00	ZEE5
Italy	17:30	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 259, Sky Sport MIX
Japan	00:30	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	21:30	Setanta Sports
Laos	22:30	beIN Connect
Malaysia	23:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX, Sooka
Malta	17:30	GO TV, TSN Malta 6
Mexico	09:30	FOX One, Tubi TV
Mongolia	23:30	Premier Sports 5
Netherlands	17:30	Viaplay
New Zealand	03:30	beIN Connect
North Macedonia	17:30	MaxTV GO
Norway	17:30	Viaplay, V Sport 1
Peru	10:30	Disney+
Philippines	23:30	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Poland	17:30	Eleven Sports 2
Portugal	16:30	DAZN / App
Romania	18:30	Digi Online, Digi Sport 4, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 5
Russia	18:30	Okko Sport
Saudi Arabia	18:30	MBC Shahid
Serbia	17:30	Arena Sport 1
Singapore	23:30	beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
Slovakia	17:30	Nova Sport 3, Voyo
Slovenia	17:30	Sport TV1
South Korea	00:30	Coupang Play
Spain	17:30	DAZN Espana
Sweden	17:30	Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool
Switzerland	17:30	DAZN Switzerland
Taiwan	23:30	ELTA Sports 2
Thailand	22:30	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect
Ukraine	18:30	Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports+
United Kingdom	16:30	Amazon Prime Video
Uruguay	12:30	Disney+
Usa	11:30	NBC Universo, NBC, Peacock, Telemundo, UNIVERSO NOW
Venezuela	11:30	Disney+
International	15:30	OneFootball TV


	Schalke 04		Elversberg

	1	X	2
	1.90	3.90	3.70	Watch
	1.85	4.00	3.75
	1.88	3.80	3.65	Watch
	1.92	4.15	3.96
	2.03	3.85	3.39	Watch
	1.88	3.90	3.90
	1.92	3.94	3.74	Watch
	1.87	4.10	3.80
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↓ (2.05)	3.96 ↑ (3.64)	3.74 ↑ (3.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Schalke 04
50.2%

Draw
24.2%

Elversberg
25.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

46.6%

26.2%

27.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.6%

26.7%

25.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Schalke 04 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Elversberg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Schalke 04 than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elversberg than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	11.1%	55.6%

Schalke 04 - Elversberg Predictions

Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. Schalke will win (votes: 9 - 33.3%). Elversberg will win (votes: 15 - 55.6%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Elversberg: 36.9% – 74.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (1.48) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Karius L. (G) 5. Becker T. 25. Katic N. 4. Kurucay H. 29. Dina Ebimbe J. 23. El-Faouzi S. 13. Tanaka S. 8. Gosens R. 19. Karaman K. (C) 24. Aouchiche A. 10. Dzeko E.	20. Kristof N. (G) 30. Gyamerah J. 19. Pinckert L. (C) 31. Rohr M. 21. Gunther L. 43. Keidel F. 8. Poreba L. 25. Petkov L. 10. Darvich N. 39. Campbell C. 42. Mokwa Ntusu D.
Substitutes
20. Adamu J. 43. Ayhan M. 33. Becker V. 7. Hwang Hee-Chan 22. Muller K. (G) 6. Schallenberg R. 9. Sylla M. 38. Vozar L. 39. Wober M.	28. Boss T. (G) 6. Conde A. 9. Futkeu N. 7. Krattenmacher M. 3. Le Joncour F. 2. Mickelson N. 40. Onyeka F. 24. Schnellbacher L. 26. Sirch L.
Coaches
Muslic M.	Wagner V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
27', Keidel F. 🟨,
37', Darvich N. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Darvich N. ↓, Krattenmacher M. ↑,
51', Gyamerah J. ↓, Sirch L. ↑,
62', Kurucay H. 🟨,
62', Dzeko E. ↓, Sylla M. ↑,
62', Becker T. ↓, Wober M. ↑,
70', Gosens R. ↓, Becker V. ↑,
70', Aouchiche A. ↓, Hwang Hee-Chan ↑,
76', Mokwa Ntusu D. ↓, Futkeu N. ↑,
76', Gunther L. ↓, Mickelson N. ↑,
78', Tanaka S. ↓, Schallenberg R. ↑,
87', Campbell C. ↓, Onyeka F. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Schalke won 3.

Schalke has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Elversberg is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Elversberg may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Schalke is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

Confirmed absences for Schalke: Kalas T. (Lacking Match Fitness) Ljubicic D. (Knee Injury).

Confirmed absences for Elversberg: Seifert L. (Ankle Injury) Zimmerschied T. (Back Injury).

Doubtful / questionable for Elversberg: Onyeka F. (Injury).

In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Schalke has recorded 3 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 10:7 (averaging 1.7:1.2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Schalke against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 3:4 goals (averaging 1:1.3 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Elversberg	7	3	1	3	12:15	-3	10
16	Schalke	7	1	3	3	4:7	-3	6

Outrights of German Bundesliga for now

Elversberg: 0.2% Schalke: 0.17%

Last Results with these Odds

Elversberg - the odds 3.51 are the expected chance of winning is 27.18%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Schalke 04
German Bundesliga
11.09.26	Union Berlin - Schalke 04	1:3 ✺
05.09.26	Schalke 04 - Bayern Munich	0:0 ✺
30.08.26	Augsburg - Schalke 04	3:0 ✺
German DFB Pokal
24.08.26	Hallescher - Schalke 04	2:5 AET ✺
Club Friendly
16.08.26	Schalke 04 - Real Madrid	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 WTLWL
- SV Elversberg
German Bundesliga
13.09.26	Elversberg - Bayern Munich	1:2 ✺
05.09.26	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Elversberg	3:4 ✺
29.08.26	Elversberg - Bayer Leverkusen	3:2 ✺
German DFB Pokal
22.08.26	Duisburg - Elversberg	1:3 ✺
Club Friendly
15.08.26	Elversberg - Lorient	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.1 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
12.04.26	Elversberg - Schalke 04	1:2
08.11.25	Schalke 04 - Elversberg	1:0
18.05.25	Schalke 04 - Elversberg	1:2
20.12.24	Elversberg - Schalke 04	1:4
19.04.24	Elversberg - Schalke 04	1:1
10.11.23	Schalke 04 - Elversberg	1:2

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