Match Info

3. Liga - Round 38

Date: 16 May 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Sachs-Stadion (Schweinfurt) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Besong J. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Germany	13:30	Magenta Sport
International	11:30	Onefootball


	Schweinfurt		Erzgebirge Aue

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.8	1.9	Watch
	3.15	3.9	1.95	Watch
	3.25	4.04	1.99
	3.19	4.1	1.92	Watch
	3.1	3.7	1.91
	3.24	3.82	1.89	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.17 ↓ (3.72)	3.89 ↓ (4.41)	1.93 ↑ (1.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Schweinfurt
28.9%

Draw
23.5%

Erzgebirge Aue
47.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

25%

21.1%

54%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.3%

20.5%

55.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Schweinfurt has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Erzgebirge Aue has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Erzgebirge Aue might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Schweinfurt than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Erzgebirge Aue than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Erzgebirge Aue could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Schweinfurt - Erzgebirge Aue Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Schweinfurt will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Aue will win (votes: 3 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Stahl T. (G) 18. Trslic L. 30. Geis J. (C) 31. Vakouftsis N. 11. Celebi E. 3. Angleberger D. 24. Latteier T. 2. Doktorczyk N. 5. Grimbs N. 37. Muller S. 13. Bohnlein K.	22. Lord L. (G) 23. Barylla A. 16. Malone R. 25. Zobel T. 29. Collins J. 13. Majetschak E. 5. Simnica L. 7. Weinhauer E. 19. Guttau J. 10. Gunther-Schmidt J. 15. Bar M. (C)
Substitutes
10. Dellinger M. 33. Endres J. 15. Fery K. 17. Forkel D. 23. Kratschmer P. 8. Meissner T. 20. Ozden M. 36. Zorn E. (G)	9. Bornschein R. 21. Burghardt M. 24. Ehlers J. 27. Hetzsch F. 1. Mannel M. (G) 45. Ocansey V. A. F. 34. Stefaniak M. 36. Uhlig M. (G) 11. Uhlmann E.
Coaches
Jones J.	Shubitidze K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
27', 1 - 0, Muller S. ⚽, Doktorczyk N. (A),
35', 1 - 1, Bar M. (Penalty Awarded),
45', Trslic L. ↓, Forkel D. ↑,
45+3', 1 - 2, Weinhauer E. ⚽, Bar M. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
50', Simnica L. 🟨,
61', Malone R. 🟨,
63', 2 - 2, Geis J. (Penalty Awarded),
63', Majetschak E. ↓, Uhlmann E. ↑,
65', Guttau J. ↓, Ehlers J. ↑,
65', Weinhauer E. ↓, Stefaniak M. ↑,
68', 2 - 3, Bar M. ⚽, Collins J. (A),
70', 2 - 4, Ehlers J. ⚽,
74', Bohnlein K. ↓, Dellinger M. ↑,
77', Bar M. ↓, Bornschein R. ↑,
77', Barylla A. ↓, Burghardt M. ↑,
84', Angleberger D. ↓, Fery K. ↑,
90+5', Muller S. 🟨,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 19 in the zone Relegation).

Schweinfurt is Relegated to

Aue is Relegated to

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Schweinfurt may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Aue will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Schweinfurt won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- 1. FC Schweinfurt 05
German 3 Bundesliga
10.05.26	TSV Havelse - Schweinfurt	3:2 ✺
02.05.26	Schweinfurt - 1860 München	1:1 ✺
25.04.26	Waldhof Mannheim - Schweinfurt	2:2 ✺
18.04.26	Schweinfurt - Hansa Rostock	0:0 ✺
10.04.26	Hoffenheim II - Schweinfurt	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.1 LTTTT
- Erzgebirge Aue
German 3 Bundesliga
08.05.26	Erzgebirge Aue - Duisburg	0:0 ✺
03.05.26	Ingolstadt - Erzgebirge Aue	3:5 ✺
25.04.26	Erzgebirge Aue - Wehen Wiesbaden	2:2 ✺
19.04.26	VfB Stuttgart II - Erzgebirge Aue	2:2 ✺
12.04.26	Erzgebirge Aue - Verl	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19 TWTTT

Latest Head to Head

German 3 Bundesliga
20.12.25	Erzgebirge Aue - Schweinfurt	4:0

Schweinfurt - Erzgebirge Aue: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide