The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
VfB Stuttgart II 53%
Draw 23.4%
Erzgebirge Aue 23.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
48.4%
22.6%
29%
Our Initial ML Estimation
48.6%
22.5%
28.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
VfB Stuttgart II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)
Erzgebirge Aue has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Erzgebirge Aue might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for VfB Stuttgart II than the current prediction. (-4.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Erzgebirge Aue than the current prediction. (+5.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Erzgebirge Aue could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
60%
40%
0%
VfB Stuttgart II - Erzgebirge Aue Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Stuttgart II will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH +0.5 - Aue (1.98) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Aue (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Hellstern F. (G) 24. Olivier C. 29. Nothnagel D. (C) 4. Herwerth M. 16. Meyer L. 18. Luers J. 31. Darvich N. 10. Sessa N. 26. Diehl J. 19. Fressle K. 32. Jeremy Arevalo
1. Mannel M. (G) 23. Barylla A. 16. Malone R. 25. Zobel T. 30. Seiffert M. 10. Gunther-Schmidt J. 13. Majetschak E. 19. Guttau J. 7. Weinhauer E. 15. Bar M. (C) 24. Ehlers J.
Substitutes
8. Di Benedetto S. 6. Groiss A. 39. Jatta N. 13. Kohler T. 17. Nankishi A. 27. Ouro-Tagba M. 44. Sankoh M. 23. Spalt Y. 33. von der Felsen J. (G)
9. Bornschein R. 8. Clausen M. 20. Fabisch J. 22. Lord L. (G) 45. Ocansey V. A. F. 39. Schmid M. 5. Simnica L. 11. Uhlmann E.
Coaches
Willig N.
Shubitidze K.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
13', Luers J. 🟨,
38', 1 - 0, Sessa N. ⚽,
40', 2 - 0, Jeremy Arevalo ⚽, Olivier C. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Luers J. ↓, Spalt Y. ↑,
46', Meyer L. ↓, Di Benedetto S. ↑,
54', 2 - 1, Guttau J. ⚽, Bar M. (A),
61', Fressle K. ↓, Ouro-Tagba M. ↑,
64', Zobel T. 🟨,
65', Ehlers J. ↓, Simnica L. ↑,
65', Weinhauer E. ↓, Schmid M. ↑,
71', Simnica L. 🟨,
73', Nothnagel D. ↓, Kohler T. ↑,
78', Gunther-Schmidt J. ↓, Fabisch J. ↑,
78', Guttau J. ↓, Clausen M. ↑,
78', Majetschak E. ↓, Ocansey V. A. F. ↑,
81', Sessa N. ↓, Groiss A. ↑,
88', 2 - 2, Bar M. (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 13 and 19 in the zone Relegation).
Recent performances by Stuttgart II have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Aue is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Stuttgart II may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Stuttgart II might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stuttgart II won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 2:6. (average 0.4:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Stuttgart II won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).