Match Info

ENGLAND: National League North - Round 22

Date: 21 December 2024, Saturday

Location: Attis Arena (Scunthorpe)


	Scunthorpe United		Hereford

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.25	3.3
	2	3.2	3.2
	2.1	3.3	3.3
	2.12	3.3	3.42
	2.14	3.21	3.5	Watch
	2.15	3.1	3.3
	2.08	3.28	3.37
	2.1	3.3	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↑ (1.8)	3.24 ↓ (3.47)	3.34 ↓ (4.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Scunthorpe United
44%

Draw
28.4%

Hereford
27.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.2%

26.6%

22.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.3%

26%

21.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Scunthorpe United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Scunthorpe United's form might have worsened.

Hereford has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Hereford's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Scunthorpe United than the current prediction. (+8.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Scunthorpe United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hereford than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hereford, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Scunthorpe United - Hereford Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Scunthorpe could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Hereford have a series of home games.

Scunthorpe will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Scunthorpe won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9:2 (average 4.5:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Scunthorpe won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Scunthorpe United
English National League North
14.12.24	Marine - Scunthorpe United	1:2 ✺
30.11.24	Scunthorpe United - Alfreton Town	0:0 ✺
26.11.24	Darlington - Scunthorpe United	0:0 ✺
23.11.24	Leamington - Scunthorpe United	0:2 ✺
English FA Trophy
16.11.24	Scunthorpe United - Warrington Rylands	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WTTWL
- Hereford FC
English National League North
17.12.24	Hereford - Scarborough Athletic	1:0 ✺
14.12.24	Hereford - Chorley	1:0 ✺
10.12.24	Darlington - Hereford	2:1 ✺
30.11.24	Hereford - Rushall Olympic	3:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
16.11.24	Hereford - Brentwood Town	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
06.04.24	Scunthorpe United - Hereford	4:1
02.12.23	Hereford - Scunthorpe United	1:5

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