The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Scunthorpe United 45.8%
Draw 25.4%
Hartlepool United 28.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
44.8%
26.5%
28.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39.4%
23.3%
32.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Scunthorpe United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
Hartlepool United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Scunthorpe United than the current prediction. (-6.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Scunthorpe United that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hartlepool United than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
33.3%
0%
66.7%
Scunthorpe United - Hartlepool United Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Scunthorpe will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Hartlepool will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
25. Campbell M. (G) 21. Starbuck J. 44. Barrows R. 15. Ashbee S. 33. Denton T. 23. Butterfield J. 17. Batty D. 11. Rowley J. (C) 18. Hurst K. 14. Jones P. 9. Norwood J.
32. Fisher N. (G) 12. Eccleston N. 2. Benn J. 6. McNally R. 4. Hunter J. (C) 19. Popov C. 8. Miley J. 7. Ilunga B. 42. Deeming C. 10. Harris W. 17. Nolan J.
Substitutes
20. Bailey J. 10. Brennan L. 5. Evans W. 1. Jones L. (G) 22. Ogle R. 12. Parker H. 16. Sellars-Fleming T.
30. Bondo T. 11. Charman L. 9. Hugill J. 3. John C. 14. Sheron N. 41. Smith A. (G) 21. Thornton C.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
27', 0 - 1, Harris W. ⚽, Deeming C. (A),
30', 1 - 1, Jones P. ⚽, Rowley J. (A),
44', Denton T. ↓, Ogle R. ↑,
45+3', Benn J. 🟨,
45+7', Butterfield J. 🟨,
45+10', 2 - 1, Norwood J. ⚽, Butterfield J. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
47', Ashbee S. 🟨,
48', 3 - 1, Hurst K. ⚽, Norwood J. (A),
57', Popov C. ↓, John C. ↑,
58', Benn J. ↓, Charman L. ↑,
59', Rowley J. 🟨,
64', Norwood J. ↓, Parker H. ↑,
65', Butterfield J. ↓, Bailey J. ↑,
65', Jones P. ↓, Sellars-Fleming T. ↑,
66', Ilunga B. ↓, Bondo T. ↑,
68', 4 - 1, Parker H. ⚽, Batty D. (A),
74', Batty D. ↓, Brennan L. ↑,
75', Harris W. ↓, Hugill J. ↑,
75', Deeming C. ↓, Thornton C. ↑,
Preview
A direct clash near the foot of the table where neither side can afford to drop points (ranked 22nd in the Relegation and 19th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Scunthorpe won 1.
In recent outings, Scunthorpe has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Hartlepool is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Hartlepool could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Scunthorpe holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 9 head-to-head meetings, Scunthorpe has recorded 2 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 6:8 (averaging 0.7:0.9 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Scunthorpe against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with 3:3 goals (averaging 0.8:0.8 per game).
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Campbell M. (G) 
Ashbee S. 
Jones P. 
Ogle R. 
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