The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Seattle Sounders 33.2%
Draw 25.5%
Chicago Fire 41.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
35.9%
25.6%
38.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
35.2%
25.1%
39.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Seattle Sounders has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
Chicago Fire has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Seattle Sounders than the current prediction. (+2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chicago Fire than the current prediction. (-2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
6.7%
20%
73.3%
Seattle Sounders - Chicago Fire Predictions
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Seattle will win (votes: 1 - 6.7%). Chicago will win (votes: 11 - 73.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 20%). Confidence interval (95%) for Chicago: 50.9% – 95.7%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 3 - over (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
26. Thomas A. (G) 85. Kossa-Rienzi K. 20. Kim Kee-Hee 39. Hawkins S. 5. Nouhou 16. Roldan A. (C) 37. Brunell S. 90. Gomez S. 11. Rusnak A. 14. Rothrock P. 9. Joveljic D.
1. Brady C. (G) 24. Dean J. 5. Rogers S. 3. Elliott J. (C) 15. Gutman A. 6. Saletros A. 42. D'Avilla D. 17. Lod R. 11. Zinckernagel P. 9. Lewandowski R. 7. Haile-Selassie M.
Substitutes
31. Dotson H. 24. Frei S. (G) 35. Lopez A. 13. Morris J. 19. Musovski D. 7. Roldan C. 4. Sailor R.
19. Bamba J. 2. Barroso L. 44. Cohen J. (G) 12. Dithejane P. 35. Oregel S. 22. Pineda M. 14. Radojevic V. 16. Waterman J. 47. Williams S.
Coaches
Schmetzer B.
Berhalter G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
12', 1 - 0, Joveljic D. ⚽, Gomez S. (A),
38', 1 - 1, Haile-Selassie M. ⚽, Lewandowski R. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
48', 2 - 1, Joveljic D. ⚽, Rusnak A. (A),
51', Brunell S. 🟨,
57', Brunell S. ↓, Roldan C. ↑,
63', Lod R. ↓, Dithejane P. ↑,
69', Gomez S. ↓, Morris J. ↑,
69', Roldan A. ↓, Dotson H. ↑,
73', Saletros A. ↓, Bamba J. ↑,
73', Dean J. ↓, Oregel S. ↑,
82', 2 - 2, Lewandowski R. ⚽, Dithejane P. (A),
88', Zinckernagel P. ↓, Barroso L. ↑,
Preview
This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 13 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Seattle won 3.
Seattle is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Chicago is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Chicago may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Seattle has had a series of home games.
Recently, Chicago has had a series of away games.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
There will not play in Seattle: Arriola P.
(Calf Injury)
Dotson H.
(Muscle Injury)
Ferreira J.
(Injury)
Gomez Andrade Y.
(Muscle Injury)
Kingston P.
(Yellow Cards)
Morris J.
(Muscle Injury)
Petkovic N.
(Knee Injury)
Ragen J.
(Knee Injury)
de La Vega P.
(Calf Injury)
There will not play in Chicago: Franco A.
(Knee Injury)
Mbokazi M.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Mueller C.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Seattle: Gnaulati X.
(Injury)
In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Seattle won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 23:16. (average 1.8:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Seattle won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 14:4. (average 2.3:0.7).
Last Results with these Odds
Seattle Sounders - the odds 2.6 are the expected chance of winning is 35.94%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.
Chicago Fire - the odds 2.43 are the expected chance of winning is 38.46%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.
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Thomas A. (G) 
Kim Kee-Hee 
Nouhou 
Roldan A. (C) 
Rusnak A. 
Joveljic D. 
Elliott J. (C) 
Saletros A. 
D'Avilla D. 
Lod R. 
Zinckernagel P. 
Lewandowski R. 
Haile-Selassie M. 
Musovski D. 
Barroso L. 
Dithejane P. 
Waterman J. 
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