Match Info

MLS

Date: 22 August 2026, Saturday

Location: TQL Stadium (Cincinnati, OH)

Referee: Fischer D. (Can)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Laola1
Germany	Laola1
Usa	MLS Season Pass, SportsEngine Play
World	Apple TV International


	Cincinnati		Seattle Sounders

	1	X	2
	1.53	4.50	5.00	Watch
	1.62	4.50	4.33
	1.64	4.35	4.30
	1.72	4.61	4.48
	1.76	4.3	3.96	Watch
	1.72	4.40	4.10
	1.60	5.10	4.74	Watch
	1.56	4.60	4.60
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↓ (1.89)	4.55 ↑ (3.95)	4.44 ↑ (3.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cincinnati
57.7%

Draw
20.9%

Seattle Sounders
21.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.4%

23.6%

27%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.2%

23.2%

26.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cincinnati has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cincinnati's performance.

Seattle Sounders has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Seattle Sounders might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cincinnati than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cincinnati that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Seattle Sounders than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Seattle Sounders could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Cincinnati - Seattle Sounders Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Seattle (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Seattle (2.05) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.5 - Seattle (1.44) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - over (1.10) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Cincinnati will win (12 of 14 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.38% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Seattle (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
18. Celentano R. (G) 11. Gidi S. 12. Robinson M. 88. Chirila A. 66. Echenique E. 22. Valenzuela G. 10. Evander (C) 27. Anunga T. 29. Ramirez Leon B. J. 17. Mboma K. 16. Barlow T.	26. Thomas A. (G) 85. Kossa-Rienzi K. 39. Hawkins S. 4. Sailor R. 35. Lopez A. 37. Brunell S. 45. Kingston P. 30. Carli E. 90. Gomez S. 14. Rothrock P. (C) 95. De Rosario O.
Substitutes
20. Bucha P. 9. Denkey K. 15. Hadebe T. 4. Hagglund N. 99. Jabbari A. 13. Louro E. (G) 5. Nwobodo O. 2. Powell A. 24. Smith K.	81. Bronnik M. 24. Frei S. (G) 32. Gnaulati X. 42. Jauregui R. 20. Kim Kee-Hee 19. Musovski D. 5. Nouhou 16. Roldan A. 11. Rusnak A.
Coaches
Noonan P.	Schmetzer B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
24', 1 - 0, Evander ⚽,
38', Sailor R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
59', Mboma K. ↓, Denkey K. ↑,
61', Brunell S. ↓, Musovski D. ↑,
61', Carli E. ↓, Nouhou ↑,
64', Ramirez Leon B. J. 🟨,
73', Ramirez Leon B. J. ↓, Bucha P. ↑,
73', Barlow T. ↓, Jabbari A. ↑,
75', Kingston P. 🟨,
77', Lopez A. ↓, Rusnak A. ↑,
77', De Rosario O. ↓, Roldan A. ↑,
83', 1 - 1, Kossa-Rienzi K. ⚽, Rusnak A. (A),
89', Echenique E. ↓, Powell A. ↑,
90', Anunga T. ↓, Nwobodo O. ↑,
90+1', Gomez S. ↓, Kim Kee-Hee ↑,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 12).

Cincinnati is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Seattle has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Cincinnati may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.

In this match, Cincinnati is considered a favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Cincinnati won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:5. (average 1:1.7).

Including home match between the teams, Cincinnati won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Outrights of MLS for now

FC Cincinnati: 2% Seattle Sounders: 1.94%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Cincinnati
MLS
19.08.26	Cincinnati - New York City	2:1 ✺
15.08.26	Orlando City - Cincinnati	1:1 ✺
CONCACAF League Cup
11.08.26	Cincinnati - Atlas	1:2 ✺
07.08.26	Cincinnati - UNAM	2:0 ✺
04.08.26	Cincinnati - Pachuca	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WTLWW
- Seattle Sounders FC
MLS
19.08.26	Seattle Sounders - Austin FC	1:2 ✺
16.08.26	Seattle Sounders - Vancouver Whitecaps	0:2 ✺
CONCACAF League Cup
12.08.26	Seattle Sounders - Chivas Guadalajara	1:2 ✺
09.08.26	Seattle Sounders - Querétaro	3:0 ✺
05.08.26	Toluca - Seattle Sounders	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

MLS
11.03.23	Cincinnati - Seattle Sounders	1:0
27.09.22	Seattle Sounders - Cincinnati	1:1
02.03.19	Seattle Sounders - Cincinnati	4:1

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