Network on TV: My Network TV (KZJO - Seattle-Tacoma, WA)
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Current Win Probability
Seattle Sounders 40.7%
Draw 26.5%
Cincinnati 32.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
62%
22.2%
15.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
72%
25.8%
13.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Seattle Sounders has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-21.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Seattle Sounders's form might have worsened.
Cincinnati has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Cincinnati's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Seattle Sounders than the current prediction. (+31.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Seattle Sounders, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cincinnati than the current prediction. (-19.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cincinnati, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
57.1%
20.4%
22.4%
Seattle Sounders - Cincinnati Predictions
Users Predictions:
49 users predict this event. Seattle will win (votes: 28 - 57.1%). Cincinnati will win (votes: 11 - 22.4%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 20.4%). Confidence interval (95%) for Seattle: 43.2% – 71%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 10 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
Seattle has the most likely position - 9 (32.66%), has project points - 44, has currently - 39, has a small chance of playoffs (14%), has not chance of first-round bye, has not chance of supporters shield, has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Cincinnati has the most likely position - 6 (35.38%), has project points - 49, has currently - 45, has a good chance of playoffs (94%), has not chance of first-round bye, has not chance of supporters shield, has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
This event has quality41, small importance18, small match rating29. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Recent matches Seattle is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Cincinnati in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Seattle could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
There will not play in Seattle: Paulo J.
(Injury)
Roldan C.
(Injury)
Thomas A.
(Injury)
Vargas O.
(Injury)
There will not play in Cincinnati: Beckham S.
(Injury)
Vermeer K.
(Injury)
Last 1 head-to-head matches Seattle won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.
Including matches at home between the teams Seattle won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.
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