Match Info

MLS

Date: 26 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Lumen Field (Seattle, WA)

Referee: Bensalah N. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	MLS Season Pass
World	Apple TV International


	Seattle Sounders		Minnesota United

	1	X	2
	2.01	3.70	3.40	Watch
	2.05	3.60	3.25
	2.10	3.60	3.15
	2.10	3.86	3.45
	2.11	3.83	3.14	Watch
	2.03	3.80	3.40
	2.09	3.84	3.44	Watch
	2.07	3.70	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↓ (2.2)	3.74 ↓ (3.76)	3.3 ↑ (2.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Seattle Sounders
45.8%

Draw
25.4%

Minnesota United
28.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.9%

25.1%

31.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.7%

25.2%

32%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Seattle Sounders has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Minnesota United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Seattle Sounders than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Minnesota United than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	28.6%	28.6%

Seattle Sounders - Minnesota United Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Seattle will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Minnesota will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
26. Thomas A. (G) 16. Roldan A. 39. Hawkins S. 25. Ragen J. 5. Nouhou 31. Dotson H. 7. Roldan C. (C) 13. Morris J. 11. Rusnak A. 8. Clark C. 19. Musovski D.	12. Callender D. (G) 28. Diaz J. 15. Boxall M. (C) 23. Duggan M. 3. Duncan K. 30. Gene O. 20. Trapp W. 13. Markanich A. 8. Chancalay T. 22. Caldeira M. 9. Yeboah K.
Substitutes
17. Arriola P. 37. Brunell S. 24. Frei S. (G) 28. Gomez Andrade Y. 90. Gomez S. 45. Kingston P. 85. Kossa-Rienzi K. 35. Lopez A. 4. Sailor R.	18. Gonzalez M. 24. Gressel J. 21. Hlongwane B. 16. Jackson A. 11. Malone M. 94. Rizvanovich K. (G) 5. Romero N. 27. Taylor D. 52. Valerius C.
Coaches
Schmetzer B.	Knowles C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
16', 1 - 0, Morris J. ⚽, Rusnak A. (A),
28', Diaz J. 🟨,
35', 2 - 0, Dotson H. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Duncan K. ↓, Hlongwane B. ↑,
57', 2 - 1, Markanich A. ⚽, Hlongwane B. (A),
58', Gene O. 🟨,
59', Musovski D. ↓, Arriola P. ↑,
59', Clark C. ↓, Gomez S. ↑,
71', Dotson H. 🟨,
78', Caldeira M. ↓, Gonzalez M. ↑,
83', 3 - 1, Arriola P. ⚽,
84', Rusnak A. ↓, Gomez Andrade Y. ↑,
84', Nouhou ↓, Kossa-Rienzi K. ↑,
84', Yeboah K. ↓, Malone M. ↑,
84', Chancalay T. ↓, Jackson A. ↑,
86', Hawkins S. 🟨,
90', Morris J. ↓, Brunell S. ↑,

Preview

Important points are at stake as a mid-tier club meets a struggling opponent (ranked 10th and 14th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Seattle won 1.

In recent outings, Seattle has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Minnesota is on a prolonged losing streak (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Seattle may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Seattle has recorded 12 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 35:21 (averaging 1.8:1.1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Seattle against this opponent, the record stands at 9 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 23:8 goals (averaging 2.3:0.8 per game).

Outrights of MLS for now

Seattle Sounders: 1.91% Minnesota United: 0.62%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Seattle Sounders FC
MLS
23.09.26	Seattle Sounders - Real Salt Lake	2:0 ✺
19.09.26	Colorado Rapids - Seattle Sounders	3:3 ✺
12.09.26	Los Angeles Galaxy - Seattle Sounders	1:1 ✺
05.09.26	Seattle Sounders - New York Red Bulls	0:0 ✺
29.08.26	Seattle Sounders - Chicago Fire	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WTTTT
- Minnesota United
MLS
19.09.26	Minnesota United - Los Angeles Galaxy	2:3 ✺
12.09.26	St. Louis City - Minnesota United	4:2 ✺
09.09.26	Minnesota United - FC Dallas	1:2 ✺
05.09.26	Portland Timbers - Minnesota United	5:4 ✺
29.08.26	Minnesota United - Orlando City	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

MLS
22.03.26	Minnesota United - Seattle Sounders	0:0
08.11.25	Minnesota United - Seattle Sounders	4:3 penalties
03.11.25	Seattle Sounders - Minnesota United	4:2
27.10.25	Minnesota United - Seattle Sounders	1:0 penalties
16.08.25	Minnesota United - Seattle Sounders	1:0
01.06.25	Seattle Sounders - Minnesota United	2:3
24.08.24	Minnesota United - Seattle Sounders	2:3

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