Match Info

MLS

Date: 19 April 2025, Saturday

Location: Lumen Field (Seattle, WA)

Referee: Fierro R. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	MLS Season Pass


	Seattle Sounders		Nashville SC

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.5	4.75	Watch
	1.7	3.7	4.75
	1.85	3.6	4.5	Watch
	1.83	3.75	4.82
	1.8	3.61	4.63	Watch
	1.73	3.7	4.75
	1.84	3.57	4.85	Watch
	1.85	3.6	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↓ (2.11)	3.63 ↑ (3.48)	4.69 ↑ (3.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Seattle Sounders
53.2%

Draw
26.4%

Nashville SC
20.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.6%

27.6%

26.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.3%

28%

26.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Seattle Sounders has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Seattle Sounders's performance.

Nashville SC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nashville SC might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Seattle Sounders than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Seattle Sounders that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nashville SC than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nashville SC could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
73.3%	6.7%	20%

Seattle Sounders - Nashville SC Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Seattle will win (votes: 10 - 71.4%). Nashville will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Seattle: 47.7% – 95.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Seattle Sounders will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Frei S. (G) 5. Nouhou 20. Kim Kee-Hee 28. Gomez Andrade Y. 85. Kalani K. 18. Vargas O. 7. Roldan C. 14. Rothrock P. 10. de La Vega P. 19. Musovski D. 9. Ferreira J.	1. Willis J. (G) 31. Najar A. 4. Palacios J. 5. Maher J. 2. Lovitz D. 8. Yazbek P. 7. Brugman G. 19. Muyl A. 10. Mukhtar H. 9. Surridge S. 37. Qasem A.
Substitutes
21. Baker-Whiting R. 15. Bell J. 6. Joao Paulo 77. Kent R. 75. Leyva D. 13. Morris J. 16. Roldan A. 11. Rusnak A. 26. Thomas A. (G)	33. Applewhite C. 22. Bauer J. 12. Bunbury T. 16. Corcoran M. 24. Perez J. 99. Schwake B. (G) 14. Shaffelburg J. 20. Tagseth E. 23. Washinghton T.
Coaches
Schmetzer B.	Callaghan B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
19', 1 - 0, Musovski D. ⚽, Ferreira J. (A), Rothrock P. (A2)
30', 2 - 0, de La Vega P. ⚽, Vargas O. (A), Roldan C. (A2)
34', 3 - 0, Rothrock P. ⚽, Ferreira J. (A), de La Vega P. (A2)
37', Vargas O. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Qasem A. ↓, Bauer J. ↑,
46', Brugman G. ↓, Tagseth E. ↑,
46', Muyl A. ↓, Shaffelburg J. ↑,
51', Ferreira J. 🟨,
56', Kim Kee-Hee 🟨,
62', de La Vega P. ↓, Rusnak A. ↑,
62', Musovski D. ↓, Morris J. ↑,
77', Vargas O. ↓, Joao Paulo ↑,
77', Kalani K. ↓, Roldan A. ↑,
81', Palacios J. ↓, Applewhite C. ↑,
82', Joao Paulo 🟨,
84', Rothrock P. ↓, Kent R. ↑,
86', Surridge S. ↓, Perez J. ↑,

Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 11 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Recently Seattle have a series of guest games.

In this match Seattle is a favorite.

There will not play in Seattle: Arriola P. (Knee Injury) Kent R. (Inactive) Roldan A. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Nashville: Boyd T. (Knee Injury) Ekk M. (Knee Injury) Gaines J. (Thigh Injury) Zimmerman W. (Concussion)

There are questionable in Seattle: Rusnak A. (Muscle Injury)

Last 3 head-to-head matches Seattle won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0:2 (average 0:0.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Seattle won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Seattle Sounders FC
MLS
12.04.25	FC Dallas - Seattle Sounders	0:1 ✺
05.04.25	San Diego - Seattle Sounders	3:0 ✺
29.03.25	San Jose Earthquakes - Seattle Sounders	1:1 ✺
22.03.25	Seattle Sounders - Houston Dynamo	0:0 ✺
15.03.25	St. Louis City - Seattle Sounders	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WLTTL
- Nashville SC
MLS
12.04.25	Nashville SC - Real Salt Lake	2:1 ✺
05.04.25	Charlotte - Nashville SC	2:1 ✺
29.03.25	Nashville SC - Cincinnati	1:2 ✺
22.03.25	Nashville SC - CF Montréal	3:0 ✺
16.03.25	Philadelphia Union - Nashville SC	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

MLS
30.09.23	Nashville SC - Seattle Sounders	0:0
13.07.22	Nashville SC - Seattle Sounders	1:0
27.02.22	Seattle Sounders - Nashville SC	0:1

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