The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Philadelphia Union 42.7%
Draw 27.8%
Nashville SC 29.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
37.9%
27.4%
34.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
37.3%
26.9%
35.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Philadelphia Union has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)
Nashville SC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nashville SC might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Philadelphia Union than the current prediction. (-5.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Philadelphia Union that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nashville SC than the current prediction. (+5.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nashville SC could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
8.3%
8.3%
83.3%
Philadelphia Union - Nashville SC Predictions
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Philadelphia will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). Nashville will win (votes: 10 - 83.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for Nashville: 62.2% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
18. Blake A. (C) 26. Harriel N. 5. Sery Larsen J. 29. Makhanya O. 39. Westfield F. 19. Vassilev I. 4. Lukic J. 21. Jean Jacques D. 6. Sullivan C. 10. Iloski M. 23. Alladoh E.
99. Schwake B. (G) 22. Bauer J. 3. Woledzi M. 5. Maher J. (C) 2. Lovitz D. 14. Mohammed S. 8. Yazbek P. 6. Acosta B. 37. Qasem A. 17. Pacius W. 41. Madrigal W.
Substitutes
28. Anello A. 11. Bedoya A. 16. Bender B. 9. Damiani B. 51. Jakupovic M. 2. Martinez G. 20. Ndinga P. 14. Rafanello J. 76. Rick A. (G)
27. Baker-Whiting R. 16. Corcoran M. 7. Espinoza C. 23. Knight J. 10. Mukhtar H. 19. Muyl A. 31. Najar A. 4. Palacios J. 1. Willis J. (G)
Coaches
Carnell B.
Callaghan B.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
15', Sery Larsen J. ↓, Martinez G. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
62', Pacius W. ↓, Mukhtar H. ↑,
62', Mohammed S. ↓, Espinoza C. ↑,
62', Bauer J. ↓, Najar A. ↑,
64', Martinez G. 🟨,
69', Vassilev I. ↓, Damiani B. ↑,
69', Sullivan C. ↓, Anello A. ↑,
86', Acosta B. ↓, Corcoran M. ↑,
86', Madrigal W. ↓, Knight J. ↑,
90+1', Lovitz D. 🟨,
Preview
This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 15 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Philadelphia won 2.
In recent matches, Philadelphia has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Nashville is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
Nashville may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Philadelphia has had a series of away games.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Philadelphia won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:11. (average 1.1:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Philadelphia won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:4. (average 1.2:0.7).
Last Results with these Odds
Philadelphia Union - the odds 2.44 are the expected chance of winning is 37.93%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.
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Blake A. (C) 
Harriel N. 
Sery Larsen J. 
Makhanya O. 
Lukic J. 
Jean Jacques D. 
Alladoh E. 
Yazbek P. 
Acosta B. 
Qasem A. 
Madrigal W. 
Damiani B. 
Martinez G. 
Ndinga P. 
Espinoza C. 
Knight J. 
Mukhtar H. 
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