Match Info

Date: 22 October 2022, Saturday

Location: Tancheon Stadium (Seongnam)

Referee: Choi H. (Kor)


	Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma		Daegu

	1	X	2
	2.37	3.3	2.75	Watch
	2.55	3.3	2.6	Watch
	2.95	3.4	2.2
	2.49	3.25	2.7
	2.53	3.46	2.91
	2.5	3.2	2.7
	2.49	3.4	2.74	Watch
	2.5	3.3	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.55 ↓ (3.03)	3.33 ↓ (3.43)	2.66 ↑ (2.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma
36.7%

Draw
28.1%

Daegu
35.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31%

27.4%

41.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.4%

26.9%

42.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma's performance.

Daegu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Daegu might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Daegu than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Daegu could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	18.7%	43.7%

Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma - Daegu Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Seongnam will win (votes: 6 - 37.5%). Daegu will win (votes: 7 - 43.8%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 18.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Daegu: 19.5% – 68.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Seongnam won 0.

Recent matches Seongnam is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Daegu is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Daegu will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 19 head-to-head matches Seongnam won 2 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 14-25.

Including matches at home between the teams Seongnam won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 3-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma
South Korean K-League 1
16.10.22	FC Seoul - Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma	0:1 ✺
12.10.22	Suwon - Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma	2:1 ✺
09.10.22	Gimcheon Sangmu - Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma	1:1 ✺
03.10.22	Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma - Suwon Bluewings	0:2 ✺
18.09.22	Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma - Pohang Steelers	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.1 WLTLT
- Daegu FC
South Korean K-League 1
16.10.22	Daegu - Gimcheon Sangmu	1:1 ✺
12.10.22	Suwon Bluewings - Daegu	1:2 ✺
09.10.22	Daegu - Suwon	2:1 ✺
South Korean Cup
05.10.22	Daegu - FC Seoul	0:1 ET ✺
South Korean K-League 1
01.10.22	FC Seoul - Daegu	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 TWWLW

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K-League 1
07.09.22	Daegu - Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma	1:0
18.06.22	Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma - Daegu	1:1
11.03.22	Daegu - Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma	3:1
04.09.21	Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma - Daegu	0:0
28.08.21	Daegu - Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma	3:1
06.04.21	Daegu - Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma	0:0
16.09.20	Daegu - Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma	3:2

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