Match Info

Date: 16 October 2022, Sunday

Location: Seoul World Cup Stadium (Seoul)


	FC Seoul		Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.6	4.5	Watch
	1.73	3.5	4.8	Watch
	1.7	3.8	4.2
	1.72	3.55	4.5
	1.76	3.77	5.04
	1.7	3.5	4.8
	1.74	3.72	4.6	Watch
	1.73	3.6	4.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↑ (1.67)	3.63 ↓ (3.79)	4.63 ↓ (4.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

FC Seoul
54.2%

Draw
25.7%

Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma
20.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.8%

24.6%

19.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.2%

17.3%

27.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

FC Seoul has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for FC Seoul than the current prediction. (-15%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with FC Seoul that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
64.7%	11.8%	23.5%

FC Seoul - Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Seoul will win (votes: 11 - 64.7%). Seongnam will win (votes: 4 - 23.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 11.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Seoul: 42% – 87.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Seoul won 2.

Recent matches Seoul is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Seongnam is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Seoul is a favorite.

Last 27 head-to-head matches Seoul won 13 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 35-25.

Including matches at home between the teams Seoul won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 16-11.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Seoul
South Korean K-League 1
12.10.22	FC Seoul - Gimcheon Sangmu	1:1 ✺
09.10.22	Suwon Bluewings - FC Seoul	0:0 ✺
South Korean Cup
05.10.22	Daegu - FC Seoul	0:1 ET ✺
South Korean K-League 1
01.10.22	FC Seoul - Daegu	2:3 ✺
18.09.22	Daegu - FC Seoul	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 TTWLL
- Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma
South Korean K-League 1
12.10.22	Suwon - Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma	2:1 ✺
09.10.22	Gimcheon Sangmu - Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma	1:1 ✺
03.10.22	Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma - Suwon Bluewings	0:2 ✺
18.09.22	Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma - Pohang Steelers	1:1 ✺
14.09.22	Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors - Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LTLTL

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K-League 1
21.08.22	FC Seoul - Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma	2:0
21.05.22	FC Seoul - Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma	0:1
01.03.22	Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma - FC Seoul	0:0
07.11.21	FC Seoul - Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma	3:0
12.09.21	Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma - FC Seoul	1:1
30.04.21	FC Seoul - Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma	2:2
10.03.21	Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma - FC Seoul	1:0

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