Match Info

EUROPE: EUROPA CONFERENCE LEAGUE - QUALIFICATION - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 3 August 2023, Thursday

Location: Stadionul Sepsi (Sfantu Gheorghe)

Referee: Hamiti E. (Alb)

Where to Watch on TV:


Romania	Prima Sport 3


	Sepsi OSK		CSKA Sofia

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.1	3	Watch
	2.3	3	3	Watch
	2.5	2.95	3
	2.38	3.1	3.1
	2.4	2.96	3.22
	2.38	3.14	3.13	Watch
	2.4	3.1	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.38 ↓ (2.72)	3.05 ↓ (3.19)	3.11 ↑ (2.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Sepsi OSK
39.3%

Draw
30.6%

CSKA Sofia
30.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.9%

29%

37.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.5%

29.3%

37.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sepsi OSK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sepsi OSK's performance.

CSKA Sofia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and CSKA Sofia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sepsi OSK than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sepsi OSK that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for CSKA Sofia than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that CSKA Sofia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40.9%	22.7%	36.4%

Sepsi OSK - CSKA Sofia Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Sepsi will win (votes: 9 - 40.9%). CSKA Sofia will win (votes: 8 - 36.4%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 22.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sepsi: 20.4% – 61.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Niczuly R. (C) 13. Ciobotariu D. 44. Balasa M. 82. Ninaj B. 20. Dumitrescu A. 6. Paun N. I. 21. Alimi I. 11. Stefanescu M. 10. Matei C. 8. Gheorghe I. 18. Safranko P.	1. Busatto (G) 22. Mahmutovic E. 4. Koch M. (C) 13. Cordoba B. 19. Turitsov I. 14. Heintz T. 26. Carreazo M. 7. Lindseth J. 3. Sanyang S. 11. Phaeton M. 9. Nazon D.
Substitutes
77. Aganovic A. 9. Damascan V. 22. Francisco Junior 98. Gedo H. (G) 59. Kallaku S. 1. Moldovan D. (G) 30. Nistor A. 17. Oroian D. 25. Otelita B. 99. Rondon M. 97. Varga R.	16. Chorbadzhiyski G. B. 20. Donchev A. 29. Estrada M. 25. Evtimov D. (G) 30. Moreno D. 12. Orlinov M. (G) 24. Papazov M. 6. Petrov H. 10. Shaghoyan Z. 8. Shopov S. 15. Vion T.
Coaches
Ciobotariu L.	El Maestro N.

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 2-0.

Sepsi in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches CSKA Sofia is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

CSKA Sofia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Sepsi have a series of guest games.

Recently CSKA Sofia have a series of home games.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Sepsi won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ACS Sepsi OSK Sfântu Gheorghe
Romanian SuperLiga
31.07.23	FC Dinamo Bucureşti - Sepsi OSK	0:3 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
27.07.23	CSKA Sofia - Sepsi OSK	0:2 ✺
Romanian SuperLiga
21.07.23	Sepsi OSK - U Craiova 1948	1:0 ✺
14.07.23	Rapid Bucureşti - Sepsi OSK	0:0 ✺
Romanian Super Cup
08.07.23	Farul Constanța - Sepsi OSK	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.5 WWWTW
- CSKA Sofia
UEFA Europa Conference League
27.07.23	CSKA Sofia - Sepsi OSK	0:2 ✺
Bulgarian Parva Liga
21.07.23	CSKA Sofia - Krumovgrad	1:0 ✺
16.07.23	Hebar Pazardzhik - CSKA Sofia	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
08.07.23	CSKA Sofia - Swarovski Tirol	2:1 ✺
04.07.23	CSKA Sofia - Qarabağ Agdam	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LWTWL

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
27.07.23	CSKA Sofia - Sepsi OSK	0:2
Club Friendly
27.06.22	CSKA Sofia - Sepsi OSK	0:4

Upcoming Matches