The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Septemvri Sofia 20.7%
Draw 29.1%
Lokomotiv Sofia 50.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
18.8%
27.7%
53.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
18.4%
27.1%
54.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Septemvri Sofia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
Lokomotiv Sofia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Septemvri Sofia than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lokomotiv Sofia than the current prediction. (+4.4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
28.6%
7.1%
64.3%
Septemvri Sofia - Lokomotiv Sofia Predictions
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Septemvri Sofia will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%). Lokomotiv Sofia will win (votes: 9 - 64.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.1%). Confidence interval (95%) for Lokomotiv Sofia: 39.2% – 89.4%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Lokomotiv Sofia will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Septemvri Sofia (votes: 1 - 20%). Lokomotiv Sofia (votes: 4 - 80%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
21. Georgiev Y. (G) 3. Wade S. 4. Hristov M. 13. Onasci K. 7. Parra M. 28. Stoichkov S. 6. Ochayi V. 27. Varbanov G. 33. Ivanov G. (C) 9. Fourrier B. 25. Aruna A.
99. Velichkov M. (G) 22. Daskalov R. 91. Bidounga R. 4. Dembele S. 27. Galchev P. 44. Katsarov B. (C) 5. Dost E. 2. Ali D. 13. Diego Raposo 7. Delev S. 29. Aralica A.
Substitutes
29. Atanasov Z. A. 18. Bibishkov M. 11. Dzhamov A. 17. Fontaine N. 12. Ivanov Vladimir (G) 14. Marinov B. 24. Mattoir F. 10. Serber K. 20. Tomovski B.
77. Caue Caruzo 21. Chachev K. 15. Ivanov L. 8. Luann 24. Lyubenov A. (G) 3. Messi 23. Mitev H. 58. Octavio 31. Stanoev K.
Coaches
Manchev V.
Genchev S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
21', Aralica A. ↓, Caue Caruzo ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
55', Ali D. ↓, Mitev H. ↑,
60', Aruna A. ↓, Serber K. ↑,
63', Mitev H. 🟥,
68', Dost E. ↓, Luann ↑,
68', Caue Caruzo ↓, Messi ↑,
71', Wade S. 🟨,
76', Varbanov G. ↓, Fontaine N. ↑,
77', 1 - 0, Fontaine N. ⚽, Serber K. (A),
90', Stoichkov S. ↓, Marinov B. ↑,
90+6', Serber K. 🟨,
90+6', Daskalov R. 🟨,
Preview
An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone efbet League (Relegation Group: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ efbet League (Conference League Group: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Septemvri Sofia won 1.
Septemvri Sofia is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Lokomotiv Sofia is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
In this match, Lokomotiv Sofia is seen as the favorite.
In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Septemvri Sofia won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 18:25. (average 1.4:1.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Septemvri Sofia won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 7:16. (average 1:2.3).
Bulgaria
Croatia
Slovenia
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Georgiev Y. (G) 
Wade S. 
Parra M. 
Ochayi V. 
Fourrier B. 
Aruna A. 
Bidounga R. 
Diego Raposo 
Aralica A. 
Fontaine N. 
Mattoir F. 
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