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Current Win Probability
Sergipe 61.9%
Draw 25.1%
Atlético Gloriense 13%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
58.5%
24.8%
16.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
63%
23%
15.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sergipe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
Atlético Gloriense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sergipe than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Gloriense than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
Sergipe - Atlético Gloriense Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
45', 0 - 1, Beto ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
58', 1 - 1, Thierry ⚽,
71', 2 - 1, Marlon Martins ⚽,
81', Careca 🟥,
85', Carioca 🟨,
Preview
One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Sergipano (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Sergipano (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
Sergipe is Qualified for Sergipano (Play Offs Semi~finals)
Sergipe is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
Atlético Gloriense has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
In this match, Sergipe is the undeniable favorite.
We predict that Sergipe will win today's game, with odds of 1.44.
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Sergipe won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).