Match Info

1. Lig - Round 20

Date: 10 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Esenler Stadium (Istanbul)

Referee: Suleyman B. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Tabii, TRT Spor


	Serik Belediyespor		İstanbulspor

	1	X	2
	8	5.25	1.27	Watch
	5.75	4.33	1.42
	10.21	5.71	1.22
	10.39	6.49	1.22	Watch
	9	5	1.29
	8.45	5.55	1.3	Watch
	8	5.33	1.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.54 ↑ (2.95)	5.38 ↑ (3.25)	1.29 ↓ (2.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Serik Belediyespor
10.8%

Draw
17.2%

İstanbulspor
72%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.1%

28.2%

40.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.6%

26.8%

42.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Serik Belediyespor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-20.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Serik Belediyespor's form might have worsened.

İstanbulspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+31.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting İstanbulspor's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Serik Belediyespor than the current prediction. (+18.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Serik Belediyespor, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for İstanbulspor than the current prediction. (-29.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for İstanbulspor, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
18.7%	3.1%	78.1%

Serik Belediyespor - İstanbulspor Predictions

Users Predictions: 32 users predict this event. Serik Belediyespor will win (votes: 6 - 18.8%). İstanbulspor will win (votes: 25 - 78.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 3.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for İstanbulspor: 63.8% – 92.4%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 - Serik Belediyespor (1.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): İstanbulspor will win (13 of 15 users predict this - 86.67%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 16 Selected Experts predict this event. Serik Belediyespor (votes: 2 - 12.5%). İstanbulspor (votes: 13 - 81.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 6.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
34. Ersu E. (G) 2. Tashkyn S. 33. Akkan G. 69. Okoro J. 22. Ceylan B. 16. Sen K. 58. Asan B. 3. Terzi E. 79. Altiparmak G. 9. Sadygov I. 12. Guibero R.	28. Tutar A. (G) 21. Duhaney D. 14. Sahin D. 24. Uzunhan E. 44. Ozer Y. 6. Vorobjovas M. 52. Duymaz O. F. 10. Loshaj F. 7. Sambissa D. 9. Gultekin E. 66. Mamadou M.
Substitutes
14. Adeola R. 23. Gunes E. (G) 88. Nefiz E. 55. Skvortsov L. 18. Spasov G. 50. Terzi E.	33. Ay F. K. 2. Bahadir Y. 30. Cham A. 83. Dayakli I. 1. Dogan I. (G) 77. Krstovski M. 20. Sahan O. 99. Sol M. 8. Temel V. 4. Tultak F.
Coaches
Pasali S.	Kanbak B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
5', 0 - 1, Mamadou M. ⚽,
21', Guibero R. 🟨,
30', 0 - 2, Ersu E. (Own goal),
39', Asan B. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Akkan G. ↓, Skvortsov L. ↑,
46', Sadygov I. ↓, Adeola R. ↑,
64', 0 - 3, Gultekin E. ⚽, Sambissa D. (A),
66', Duymaz O. F. ↓, Temel V. ↑,
66', Guibero R. ↓, Terzi E. ↑,
67', Mamadou M. ↓, Krstovski M. ↑,
77', Asan B. ↓, Nefiz E. ↑,
77', Altiparmak G. ↓, Spasov G. ↑,
79', Gultekin E. ↓, Cham A. ↑,
79', Uzunhan E. ↓, Tultak F. ↑,
84', Tashkyn S. 🟨,
85', Loshaj F. ↓, Dayakli I. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 12 and 14).

Recent form of Serik Belediyespor has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

İstanbulspor is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, İstanbulspor is the undeniable favorite.

There will not play in Serik Belediyespor: Dilli S. (Suspended) Ozcan S. (Red Card) Tunali M. (Suspended) Yucedag E. (Inactive)

There will not play in İstanbulspor: Aydin D. (Knee Injury) Kabadayi K. (Suspended) Ologo Inainfe M. (Broken Leg) Vardar B. (Illness) Yilmaz A. S. (Suspended)

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Serik Belediyespor won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
18	Istanbulspor AS	8	1	2	5	7:19	-12	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Serik Belediyespor
Turkish First League
28.12.25	Serik Belediyespor - Boluspor	1:4 ✺
21.12.25	Hatayspor - Serik Belediyespor	1:1 ✺
13.12.25	Serik Belediyespor - Manisa FK	0:1 ✺
06.12.25	Serik Belediyespor - Keçiörengücü	1:3 ✺
29.11.25	Vanspor - Serik Belediyespor	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LTLLW
- İstanbulspor AŞ
Turkish First League
29.12.25	Adana Demirspor - İstanbulspor	1:5 ✺
21.12.25	İstanbulspor - Vanspor	1:3 ✺
Turkish Cup
17.12.25	Fatih Karagümrükspor - İstanbulspor	0:0 ✺
Turkish First League
13.12.25	Sarıyer - İstanbulspor	1:2 ✺
07.12.25	İstanbulspor - Sivasspor	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Turkish First League
09.08.25	İstanbulspor - Serik Belediyespor	0:0

Upcoming Matches