Match Info

BRAZIL: Serie D - Round 13

Date: 12 July 2024, Friday

Location: Estádio Municipal Roberto Siqueira Costa (Serra)


	Serra		Nova Iguaçu

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.1	1.98
	3.1	3.2	2.15
	3.2	3.05	2.19
	3.47	3.18	2.06	Watch
	3.5	3.1	1.91
	3.38	3.24	2.03
	3.1	3.2	2.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.31 ↓ (3.59)	3.15 ↑ (3.1)	2.07 ↑ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Serra
27.4%

Draw
28.7%

Nova Iguaçu
43.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.4%

29.4%

45.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.2%

29.1%

45.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Serra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Nova Iguaçu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Serra than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nova Iguaçu than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Serra - Nova Iguaçu Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
14', 0 - 1, Marllon ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
55', 0 - 2, Kayke David ⚽,
77', 1 - 2, Thiago ⚽,
90+3', Igor Oliveira 🟥,

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).

Nova Iguaçu is Qualified for Serie D (Play Offs 1/16~finals)

Recent matches Serra is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Nova Iguaçu in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Nova Iguaçu will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Serra won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Serra FC
Brazilian Serie D
06.07.24	Serra - Noroeste	2:2 ✺
01.07.24	Democrata SL - Serra	1:2 ✺
22.06.24	Ipatinga - Serra	0:4 ✺
16.06.24	Serra - Itabuna	0:2 ✺
12.06.24	Portuguesa RJ - Serra	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.3 TWWLT
- Nova Iguaçu
Brazilian Serie D
06.07.24	Nova Iguaçu - Portuguesa RJ	1:0 ✺
29.06.24	Audax Rio - Nova Iguaçu	0:1 ✺
22.06.24	Nova Iguaçu - Itabuna	1:0 ✺
16.06.24	Nova Iguaçu - Ipatinga	1:1 ✺
12.06.24	Noroeste - Nova Iguaçu	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
04.05.24	Nova Iguaçu - Serra	4:0

Serra - Nova Iguaçu: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide