Match Info

EUROPE: Conference League - Qualification - Final

Date: 29 August 2024, Thursday

Location: Stade de Genève (Geneva)

Referee: Di Bello M. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, RTS 2, RTS 2, RTS Sport Player, RTS Sport Player, SRF Info, SRF Info, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
United-kingdom	Chelsea TV


	Servette		Chelsea

	1	X	2
	4.75	4.33	1.6	Watch
	5.25	4.4	1.49
	5	4.5	1.55
	5.41	4.55	1.53
	5.24	4.73	1.54	Watch
	5.72	4.85	1.53	Watch
	5	4.5	1.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.2 ↑ (4.6)	4.55 ↑ (4)	1.54 ↓ (1.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Servette
18.1%

Draw
20.7%

Chelsea
61.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.5%

22.5%

58%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.5%

21.4%

55.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Servette has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Chelsea has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Servette than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chelsea than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Chelsea, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	7.4%	92.6%

Servette - Chelsea Predictions

Users Predictions: Chelsea will win (25 of 27 users predict this - 92.59%).
Confidence interval (95%): 82.71% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Mall J. (G) 3. Tsunemoto K. 4. Rouiller S. (C) 19. Severin Y. 18. Mazikou B. 8. Cognat T. 5. Ondoua G. 28. Douline D. 17. Kutesa D. 10. Antunes A. 21. Guillemenot J.	12. Jorgensen F. (G) 40. Veiga R. 5. Badiashile B. 4. Adarabioyo T. 2. Disasi A. 8. Fernandez E. (C) 22. Dewsbury-Hall K. 11. Madueke N. 18. Nkunku C. 10. Mudryk M. 38. Guiu M.
Substitutes
6. Baron A. 44. Besson L. (G) 27. Crivelli E. 32. Frick J. (G) 20. Magnin T. 31. Ouattara T. 24. Sawadogo M. 22. Simbakoli U. 34. Srdanovic L. 9. Stevanovic M. 11. Von Moos J. 26. Weber P.	34. Acheampong J. 13. Bettinelli M. (G) 25. Caicedo M. 6. Colwill L. 3. Cucurella M. 15. Jackson N. 20. Palmer C. 1. Sanchez R. (G) 32. Tyrique G.
Coaches
Haberli T.	Maresca E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
9', Severin Y. 🟨,
14', 0 - 1, Nkunku C. (Pen),
18', Badiashile B. 🟨,
32', 1 - 1, Guillemenot J. ⚽, Kutesa D. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
62', Guillemenot J. ↓, Stevanovic M. ↑,
62', Antunes A. ↓, Crivelli E. ↑,
62', Madueke N. ↓, Tyrique G. ↑,
63', Guiu M. ↓, Jackson N. ↑,
63', Fernandez E. ↓, Caicedo M. ↑,
64', Crivelli E. 🟨,
65', Douline D. 🟨,
72', 2 - 1, Crivelli E. ⚽, Cognat T. (A),
73', Mudryk M. ↓, Palmer C. ↑,
74', Jackson N. 🟨,
78', Kutesa D. ↓, Von Moos J. ↑,
85', Veiga R. 🟨,
85', Douline D. ↓, Ouattara T. ↑,

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 0-2.

Servette is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Chelsea is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Chelsea could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Chelsea is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Servette won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Servette FC
UEFA Europa Conference League
22.08.24	Chelsea - Servette	2:0 ✺
Swiss Cup
18.08.24	Signal Bernex-Confignon - Servette	1:7 ✺
UEFA Europa League
15.08.24	Servette - Braga	1:2 ✺
Swiss Super League
11.08.24	Servette - Basel	0:6 ✺
UEFA Europa League
08.08.24	Braga - Servette	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LWLLT
- Chelsea
English Premier League
25.08.24	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Chelsea	2:6 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
22.08.24	Chelsea - Servette	2:0 ✺
English Premier League
18.08.24	Chelsea - Manchester City	0:2 ✺
Club Friendly
11.08.24	Chelsea - Inter Milan	1:1 ✺
06.08.24	Real Madrid - Chelsea	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WWLTL

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
22.08.24	Chelsea - Servette	2:0

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