Match Info

Premier League - Round 25

Date: 7 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Molineux Stadium (Wolverhampton)

Referee: Gillett J. (Aus)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Wolverhampton Wanderers		Chelsea

	1	X	2
	5	4.2	1.6
	4.5	4	1.71
	5.5	4.35	1.58
	5.75	4.4	1.61
	5.57	4.28	1.62	Watch
	5	4	1.57
	5.39	4.45	1.61	Watch
	5.33	4.2	1.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.26 ↑ (4.49)	4.24 ↓ (4.32)	1.61 ↓ (1.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wolverhampton Wanderers
18.2%

Draw
22.6%

Chelsea
59.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.4%

22.2%

56.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.7%

21.5%

58.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wolverhampton Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Chelsea has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wolverhampton Wanderers than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chelsea than the current prediction. (-1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
4.4%	9.9%	85.7%

Wolverhampton Wanderers - Chelsea Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Wolverhampton (2.27) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

AH -0.75 - Chelsea (1.72) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

O/U 2.75 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Chelsea will win (77 of 90 users predict this - 85.56%).
Confidence interval (95%): 78.3% – 92.82%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Chelsea will win (49 of 53 users predict this - 92.45%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 58 Selected Experts predict this event. Wolverhampton (votes: 2 - 3.4%). Chelsea (votes: 52 - 89.7%). Tie (votes: 4 - 6.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sa J. (G) 2. Doherty M. (C) 15. Mosquera Y. 4. Bueno S. 3. Bueno H. 8. Joao Gomes 47. Gomes A. 11. Hwang Hee-Chan 9. Armstrong A. 36. Mane M. 14. Arokodare T.	1. Sanchez R. (G) 27. Gusto M. 29. Fofana W. 23. Chalobah T. 3. Cucurella M. 25. Caicedo M. 17. Andrey Santos 10. Palmer C. 8. Fernandez E. (C) 7. Neto P. 20. Joao Pedro
Substitutes
27. Bellegarde J. 74. Edozie T. 21. Gomes R. 31. Johnstone S. (G) 37. Krejci L. 17. Pedro Lima 62. Rawlings L. 38. Tchatchoua J. 6. Wolfe D. M.	34. Acheampong J. 5. Badiashile B. 9. Delap L. 41. Estêvão 49. Garnacho A. 38. Guiu M. 21. Hato J. 19. Sarr M. 28. Sharman-Lowe T. (G)
Coaches
Edwards R.	Rosenior L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
13', 0 - 1, Palmer C. (Penalty Awarded),
35', 0 - 2, Palmer C. (Penalty Awarded),
38', 0 - 3, Palmer C. ⚽, Cucurella M. (A),
43', Hwang Hee-Chan ↓, Krejci L. ↑,
45+4', Armstrong A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Doherty M. ↓, Gomes R. ↑,
54', 1 - 3, Arokodare T. ⚽, Armstrong A. (A),
61', Palmer C. ↓, Garnacho A. ↑,
73', Cucurella M. 🟨,
75', Joao Pedro ↓, Delap L. ↑,
75', Gusto M. ↓, Acheampong J. ↑,
80', Gomes A. ↓, Bellegarde J. ↑,
84', Andrey Santos ↓, Hato J. ↑,
90+1', Joao Gomes ↓, Pedro Lima ↑,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Championship and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wolverhampton won 1.

Wolverhampton has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Chelsea is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Chelsea may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Chelsea is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Wolverhampton: Chiwome L. (Lacking Match Fitness) Toti (Hamstring Injury)

There will not play in Chelsea: Adarabioyo T. (Muscle Injury) Colwill L. (Knee Injury) Essugo D. (Injury) Gittens J. (Muscle Injury) Lavia R. (Thigh Injury) Mudryk M. (Suspended)

There are questionable in Chelsea: Jorgensen F. (Injury)

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Wolverhampton won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 22:42. (average 1.2:2.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Wolverhampton won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:20. (average 1.6:2.2).

Outrights of English Premier League for now

Chelsea: 5.71%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Chelsea	5	2	1	2	10:12	-2	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wolverhampton Wanderers
English Premier League
31.01.26	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Bournemouth	0:2 ✺
24.01.26	Manchester City - Wolverhampton Wanderers	2:0 ✺
18.01.26	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Newcastle United	0:0 ✺
English FA Cup
10.01.26	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Shrewsbury Town	6:1 ✺
English Premier League
07.01.26	Everton - Wolverhampton Wanderers	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 LLTWT
- Chelsea
English League Cup
03.02.26	Arsenal - Chelsea	1:0 ✺
English Premier League
31.01.26	Chelsea - West Ham United	3:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
28.01.26	Napoli - Chelsea	2:3 ✺
English Premier League
25.01.26	Crystal Palace - Chelsea	1:3 ✺
UEFA Champions League
21.01.26	Chelsea - Paphos	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
08.11.25	Chelsea - Wolverhampton Wanderers	3:0
English League Cup
29.10.25	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Chelsea	3:4
English Premier League
20.01.25	Chelsea - Wolverhampton Wanderers	3:1
25.08.24	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Chelsea	2:6
04.02.24	Chelsea - Wolverhampton Wanderers	2:4
24.12.23	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Chelsea	2:1
08.04.23	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Chelsea	1:0

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