Match Info

FA Cup - Final

Date: 16 May 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Wembley Stadium (London) 🌤️ ...

Referee: England D. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	CANAL+ Sport 3, DStv Now, SuperSport Football Plus, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport Grandstand, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Maximo 360, SuperSport Premier League
Albania	16:00	SuperSport 2
Andorra	16:00	beIN Sports 1
Argentina	11:00	Disney+, ESPN
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD
Australia	00:00	Stan Sport
Austria	16:00	DAZN 2, DAZN
Bolivia	10:00	ESPN
Bosnia And Herzegovina	16:00	Arena Sport 1
Brazil	11:00	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	17:00	Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	10:00	Sportsnet+, Sportsnet World
Chile	10:00	Disney+
China	22:00	Migu
Colombia	09:00	Disney+, ESPN
Croatia	16:00	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	17:00	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
Czech Republic	16:00	Nova Sport 1, Oneplay
Denmark	16:00	TV3+, Viaplay
Ecuador	09:00	ESPN
Finland	17:00	Viaplay 2 Urheilu, V Sport Premium
France	16:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Free
Georgia	18:00	Setanta Sports 1
Germany	16:00	DAZN 2, DAZN Deutsch
Greece	17:00	COSMOTE Sport 2
Hong Kong	22:00	M Plus Live, Now Sports 651
Hungary	16:00	Spiler1 TV, TV2 Play Premium
Iceland	14:00	SÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay
India	19:30	JioTV app, Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 2, Sony Sports TEN 3, Sony Sports TEN 4
Indonesia	21:00	Vidio
Israel	17:00	Sport 1
Italy	16:00	Discovery+, Nove
Japan	23:00	U-NEXT
Kazakhstan	20:00	Qazsport
Kenya	17:00	Gotv
Kosovo	16:00	Arena Premium 1, SuperSport 2
Macao	22:00	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
Malaysia	22:00	Astro Football, Astro Go, Astro Grandstand, SKY NET Sports 3, SKY NET Sports X, Sooka
Maldives	19:00	Medianet
Malta	16:00	GO TV, TSN Malta 2
Mexico	08:00	FOX One, FOX Sports, HBO Max, TNT Sports
Netherlands	16:00	Viaplay
New Zealand	02:00	beIN Connect, Sky Sport 6
Nigeria	15:00	SuperSport Football Plus, Supersport Maximo 2
North Central America	—	RUSH Sports 1 Caribbean
Norway	16:00	TV2 Play, Viaplay
Pakistan	19:00	Tapmad
Papua New Guinea	00:00	TVWan Sports
Paraguay	10:00	ESPN
Peru	09:00	Disney+, ESPN
Poland	16:00	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app, TVP Sport
Portugal	15:00	Sport TV2, Sport TV4
Romania	17:00	Voyo
Serbia	16:00	Arena Premium 1
Singapore	22:00	Hub Premier 4, HUB Sports 2
Slovakia	16:00	Nova Sport 1, Voyo
Slovenia	16:00	Arena Sport 1
South Africa	16:00	SuperSport Premier League
South Korea	23:00	Coupang Play
Spain	16:00	M+ Liga de Campeones, Movistar Plus+
Suriname	11:00	QN Sports
Sweden	16:00	Viaplay, V Sport Premium
Switzerland	16:00	DAZN Switzerland
Taiwan	22:00	ELTA Sports 1
Turkey	17:00	Tabii Spor 1, Tabii
Ukraine	17:00	Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports
United Kingdom	15:00	BBC iPlayer, BBC One, BBC Radio 5 Live, BBC Sport, HBO Max, TNT Sports 1
Uruguay	11:00	Disney+
Usa	10:00	ESPN 2, ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+
Uzbekistan	19:00	Zor TV
Venezuela	10:00	Disney+, ESPN, Inter
Vietnam	21:00	FPT Play


	Chelsea		Manchester City

	1	X	2
	4.75	4.1	1.62
	4.7	3.95	1.7
	4.86	4.23	1.7
	4.74	4.22	1.72	Watch
	4.6	3.9	1.67
	4.84	4.28	1.74	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.75 ↑ (4.41)	4.11 ↑ (3.91)	1.69 ↓ (1.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chelsea
20.2%

Draw
23.3%

Manchester City
56.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

21.5%

24.3%

54.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.2%

23.9%

54.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chelsea has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Manchester City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chelsea than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Manchester City than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
17.3%	5.8%	76.9%

Chelsea - Manchester City Predictions

Users Predictions: 52 users predict this event. Chelsea will win (votes: 9 - 17.3%). Man City will win (votes: 40 - 76.9%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 5.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Man City: 65.4% – 88.4%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS, 2nd Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.75 - Chelsea (1.91) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Manchester City will win (10 of 10 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Chelsea (votes: 1 - 9.1%). Man City (votes: 10 - 90.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sanchez R. (G) 29. Fofana W. 6. Colwill L. 21. Hato J. 27. Gusto M. 24. James R. (C) 25. Caicedo M. 3. Cucurella M. 10. Palmer C. 8. Fernandez E. 20. Joao Pedro	1. Trafford J. (G) 27. Nunes M. 45. Khusanov A. 15. Guehi M. 33. O'Reilly N. 16. Rodri 20. Silva B. (C) 42. Semenyo A. 7. Marmoush O. 11. Doku J. 9. Haaland E.
Substitutes
34. Acheampong J. 4. Adarabioyo T. 17. Andrey Santos 23. Chalobah T. 9. Delap L. 14. Essugo D. 49. Garnacho A. 12. Jorgensen F. (G) 7. Neto P.	6. Ake N. 10. Cherki R. 3. Dias R. 25. Donnarumma G. (G) 47. Foden P. 8. Kovacic M. 4. Reijnders T. 26. Savinho 5. Stones J.
Coaches
McFarlane C.	Guardiola P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
29', Fernandez E. 🟨,
32', Cucurella M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Marmoush O. ↓, Cherki R. ↑,
56', Khusanov A. 🟨,
65', Rodri ↓, Kovacic M. ↑,
72', 0 - 1, Semenyo A. ⚽, Haaland E. (A),
74', Cucurella M. ↓, Neto P. ↑,
83', James R. ↓, Delap L. ↑,
86', Joao Pedro ↓, Garnacho A. ↑,
90+2', Caicedo M. 🟨,

Preview

Neutral location - Wembley Stadium.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chelsea won 0.

Chelsea is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Man City is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Chelsea may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Man City is the team to beat.

There will not play in Chelsea: Derry J. (Concussion) Estêvão (Hamstring Injury) Mudryk M. (Suspended)

There will not play in Man City: Rodri (Groin Injury)

There are questionable in Chelsea: Gittens J. (Muscle Injury) Sanchez R. (Concussion)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Chelsea won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 17:36. (average 0.9:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Chelsea won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 8:15. (average 1:1.9).

Outrights of English FA Cup for now

Manchester City: 12.13% Chelsea: 8.21%

Last Results with these Odds

Manchester City - the odds 1.75 are the expected chance of winning is 54.24%, but this team recently wins 64% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chelsea
English Premier League
09.05.26	Liverpool - Chelsea	1:1 ✺
04.05.26	Chelsea - Nottingham Forest	1:3 ✺
English FA Cup
26.04.26	Chelsea - Leeds United	1:0 ✺
English Premier League
21.04.26	Brighton & Hove Albion - Chelsea	3:0 ✺
18.04.26	Chelsea - Manchester United	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 TLWLL
- Manchester City
English Premier League
13.05.26	Manchester City - Crystal Palace	3:0 ✺
09.05.26	Manchester City - Brentford	3:0 ✺
04.05.26	Everton - Manchester City	3:3 ✺
English FA Cup
25.04.26	Manchester City - Southampton	2:1 ✺
English Premier League
22.04.26	Burnley - Manchester City	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
12.04.26	Chelsea - Manchester City	0:3
04.01.26	Manchester City - Chelsea	1:1
25.01.25	Manchester City - Chelsea	3:1
18.08.24	Chelsea - Manchester City	0:2
Club Friendly
03.08.24	Manchester City - Chelsea	4:2
English FA Cup
20.04.24	Manchester City - Chelsea	1:0
English Premier League
17.02.24	Manchester City - Chelsea	1:1

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