The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Servette 45.3%
Draw 25.3%
Thun 29.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
40.1%
24.2%
35.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41.3%
24.9%
34.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Servette has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Servette's performance.
Thun has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Thun might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Servette than the current prediction. (-4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Thun than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Thun could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
31.2%
6.2%
62.5%
Servette - Thun Predictions
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Servette will win (votes: 5 - 31.3%). Thun will win (votes: 10 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 6.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for Thun: 38.8% – 86.2%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
1X2, 1st Half - Thun (3.20) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .
BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
DC - Thun (1.69) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
AH +0.5 - Thun (1.74) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Thun will win (7 of 9 users predict this - 77.78%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 12 Selected Experts predict this event. Thun (votes: 10 - 83.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Mall J. (G) 15. Burch M. 4. Rouiller S. 18. Mazikou B. 17. Mendes H. 8. Cognat T. 28. Douline D. 14. Njoh L. 9. Stevanovic M. 90. Mraz S. 21. Guillemenot J.
24. Steffen N. (G) 47. Fehr F. 4. Montolio G. 19. Bamert J. 23. Burki M. 7. Imeri K. 14. Kait M. 6. Bertone L. 78. Matoshi V. 96. Labeau B. 74. Rastoder E.
Substitutes
34. Allix T. 45. Atangana J. 40. Aubert M. (G) 11. Fomba L. 30. Jallow A. 36. Lopes T. 39. Miguel M. 5. Ondoua G. 19. Severin Y.
37. Dahler L. 5. Franke D. 33. Gutbub M. 18. Ibayi C. 77. Meichtry F. 70. Reichmuth N. 16. Roth J. 20. Rupp N. 25. Spycher T. (G)
Coaches
Gourvennec J.
Lustrinelli M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
40', 0 - 1, Rastoder E. ⚽, Imeri K. (A),
41', Cognat T. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Matoshi V. ↓, Roth J. ↑,
47', 0 - 2, Burki M. ⚽, Imeri K. (A),
50', Bamert J. 🟨,
57', Guillemenot J. ↓, Jallow A. ↑,
57', Mraz S. ↓, Atangana J. ↑,
67', Jallow A. 🟥,
70', Imeri K. ↓, Meichtry F. ↑,
71', Stevanovic M. ↓, Fomba L. ↑,
71', Burch M. ↓, Severin Y. ↑,
81', Rastoder E. ↓, Reichmuth N. ↑,
82', Labeau B. ↓, Ibayi C. ↑,
83', Mendes H. ↓, Lopes T. ↑,
88', 0 - 3, Reichmuth N. ⚽, Fehr F. (A),
88', Bertone L. ↓, Rupp N. ↑,
89', Burki M. 🟨,
90', Mazikou B. 🟨,
90+2', 1 - 3, Atangana J. (Penalty Awarded),
90+6', Rouiller S. 🟨,
Preview
A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 8 in the zone Super League (Relegation Group: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Servette won 1.
In recent matches, Servette has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Thun is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
Thun may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
There will not play in Servette: Baron A.
(Inactive)
Bronn D.
(Injury)
Frick J.
(Hip Injury)
Srdanovic L.
(Inactive)
There will not play in Thun: Ibayi C.
(Injury)
Reichmuth N.
(Hand Injury)
Ziswiler N.
(Knee Injury)
In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Servette won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 15:26. (average 1:1.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Servette won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 1:0.7).