Match Info

Club Friendly

Date: 4 January 2026, Sunday


	Karlsruher		Thun

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.05	3.6	2.05
	2.99	4.15	2.03
	2.9	3.6	2.05
	2.48	3.76	2.48
	3.1	3.6	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.9 ↑ (2.42)	3.74 ↑ (3.74)	2.12 ↓ (2.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Karlsruher
31.8%

Draw
24.7%

Thun
43.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.8%

24.5%

37.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.2%

24.1%

38.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Karlsruher has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Karlsruher's form might have worsened.

Thun has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Thun's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karlsruher than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Karlsruher, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Thun than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Thun, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Karlsruher - Thun Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Karlsruher is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Thun's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Karlsruher won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:0. (average 3:0).

Including home match between the teams, Karlsruher won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Karlsruher - the odds 2.42 are the expected chance of winning is 37.85%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Karlsruher SC
German 2 Bundesliga
20.12.25	Bochum - Karlsruher	2:2 ✺
13.12.25	Karlsruher - Paderborn	0:4 ✺
06.12.25	Darmstadt - Karlsruher	3:2 ✺
28.11.25	Hannover - Karlsruher	3:0 ✺
23.11.25	Karlsruher - Elversberg	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 TLLLL
- FC Thun
Swiss Super League
20.12.25	Thun - Zürich	4:2 ✺
16.12.25	Winterthur - Thun	1:4 ✺
13.12.25	Thun - St. Gallen	0:2 ✺
06.12.25	Thun - Luzern	4:1 ✺
30.11.25	Lausanne-Sport - Thun	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
05.09.14	Thun - Karlsruher	0:5
11.10.12	Karlsruher - Thun	1:0

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