Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 1 - Round 8

Date: 24 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Segunda RFEF 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Spain	18:30	Footballclub


	Sestao		Arosa

	1	X	2
	1.53	3.70	5.25
	1.5	3.7	5.3
	1.58	3.74	5.59
	1.54	3.89	5.4	Watch
	1.56	3.7	5.5
	1.63	3.64	5.46
	1.54	3.9	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↓ (1.71)	3.75 ↑ (3.5)	5.41 ↑ (4.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sestao
58.8%

Draw
24.3%

Arosa
16.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

52.5%

25.6%

21.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.7%

24.1%

20.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sestao has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sestao's performance.

Arosa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sestao than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arosa than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Sestao - Arosa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
45', 1 - 0, Pau Chicharito ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

An upper-table contender faces a competitive test against mid-table opposition (ranked 3rd in the Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Promotion Play Offs and 13th in the Segunda RFEF - Play Out).

Sestao arrives with excellent momentum after picking up several victories (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Arosa has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Arosa could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Sestao holds a commanding advantage according to the oddsmakers.

Our forecast points to a victory for Sestao in today's match, at odds of 1.47.

These two teams have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Sestao	8	6	1	1	9:3	6	19
14	Arosa SC	8	1	4	3	12:17	-5	7

Last Results with these Odds

Sestao - the odds 1.71 are the expected chance of winning is 52.53%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sestao River
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
18.10.26	Marino de Luanco - Sestao	0:1 ✺
Spanish Copa Federacion
14.10.26	Sestao - Salamanca	3:1 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
10.10.26	Sestao - Gimnástica de Torrelavega	0:0 ✺
04.10.26	Gernika - Sestao	1:2 ✺
Spanish Copa Federacion
30.09.26	Sestao - Terrassa	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WWTWW
- Arosa SC
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
18.10.26	Arosa - Llanera	4:1 ✺
11.10.26	Arosa - Bergantiños	2:2 ✺
04.10.26	Ourense CF - Arosa	0:0 ✺
27.09.26	Arosa - Alavés B	2:5 ✺
19.09.26	Basconia - Arosa	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WTTLT

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