Match Info

SPAIN: Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 17

Date: 15 December 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio de Couto (Ourense)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	FEF TV


	Ourense CF		Sestao

	1	X	2
	2.15	2.88	3.4
	2.1	2.85	3.3
	2.2	2.95	3.45
	2.21	2.98	3.46
	2.17	2.98	3.43
	2.18	3.02	3.42
	2.2	2.95	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↓ (2.29)	2.94 ↓ (3.09)	3.42 ↑ (3.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ourense CF
42.1%

Draw
31.1%

Sestao
26.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.2%

29.8%

30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.7%

28.1%

28.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ourense CF has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Sestao has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ourense CF than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sestao than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Ourense CF - Sestao Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Marqueta R. (G) 2. Andrada F. 4. Carmona F. 15. Zalaya A. 3. Sanz H. 14. del Olmo I. 23. Fullana F. 6. Fidalgo A. 22. Noriega J. 21. Raigal J. 7. Carbonell J.	13. Herrerin I. (G) 22. Etxeberria M. 23. Efremov A. 16. Galvez R. 12. Barandalla M. 17. Palacin E. 6. Gomez A. 8. Garai G. 15. Bustillo M. 18. Cordoba A. 11. Etxaniz J.
Substitutes
9. Di Renzo G. 10. Gil A. 11. Gil A. 13. Guillen P. (G) 16. Juanma Bravo 17. Prada R. 5. Prado M. 8. Ramos J. 19. Rodriguez M. 20. Sanchez A.	2. Alvarez J. 3. Cordero C. 14. Garcia S. 1. Garrido J. (G) 10. Martinez Ortiz L. 27. Martin M. 21. Miranda A. 28. Otxandiano J. 7. Planas A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
16', Bustillo M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Fullana F. ↓, Ramos J. ↑,
61', Zalaya A. 🟨,
64', Barandalla M. 🟨,
66', Galvez R. ↓, Cordero C. ↑,
66', Barandalla M. ↓, Miranda A. ↑,
66', Palacin E. ↓, Planas A. ↑,
67', Andrada F. ↓, Sanchez A. ↑,
67', Noriega J. ↓, Prado M. ↑,
70', Garai G. ↓, Garcia S. ↑,
77', Carbonell J. ↓, Di Renzo G. ↑,
90+3', Ramos J. 🟨,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 19 in the zone Relegation).

Ourense CF in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Sestao is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ourense CF could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Ourense CF will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ourense CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
07.12.24	Zamora - Ourense CF	1:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
04.12.24	Ourense CF - Deportivo A Coruña	1:0 ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
30.11.24	Ourense CF - Ponferradina	2:1 ✺
24.11.24	Real Unión de Irun - Ourense CF	0:1 ✺
17.11.24	Ourense CF - Tarazona	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.4 TWWWW
- Sestao River
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
08.12.24	Sestao - Arenteiro	2:1 ✺
30.11.24	Amorebieta - Sestao	2:0 ✺
23.11.24	Sestao - Barakaldo	0:1 ✺
17.11.24	Gimnástica Segoviana - Sestao	0:0 ✺
10.11.24	Leonesa - Sestao	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.1 WLLTW

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