Match Info

SPAIN: Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 14

Date: 23 November 2024, Saturday

Location: Estadio Las Llanas (Sestao)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	FEF TV


	Sestao		Barakaldo

	1	X	2
	2.7	2.8	2.55
	2.7	2.9	2.45
	2.85	2.9	2.6
	2.91	2.99	2.56
	2.88	2.88	2.54	Watch
	2.89	2.86	2.54
	2.85	2.9	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.83 ↑ (2.65)	2.89 ↓ (2.95)	2.55 ↓ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sestao
32.4%

Draw
31.7%

Barakaldo
35.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.5%

31%

34.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.7%

30.8%

34.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sestao has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Barakaldo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sestao than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barakaldo than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Sestao - Barakaldo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Herrerin I. (G) 22. Etxeberria M. 5. Blanco C. 23. Efremov A. 3. Cordero C. 8. Garai G. 6. Gomez A. 10. Martinez Ortiz L. (C) 15. Bustillo M. 18. Cordoba A. 11. Etxaniz J.	13. Perez U. (G) 7. Pedernales I. 3. Garcia B. 4. Jelbat A. 12. Artetxe M. 6. Naveira U. 8. Huidobro J. 11. Revilla A. 21. Uriarte K. 18. Santiago P. 9. Sannadi M.
Substitutes
9. Aznar D. 12. Barandalla M. 16. Galvez R. 14. Garcia S. 1. Garrido J. (G) 21. Miranda A. 17. Palacin E. 7. Planas A.	23. Bilbao L. 22. Bujan U. 2. de Jesus B. 19. Isuskiza V. 16. Lopez O. 20. Martinez J. 5. Molina E. 15. Muguruza A. 1. Tena J. (G) 10. Torre I. 14. Txoperena U. 17. Vicandi A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
17', Efremov A. 🟨,
24', Naveira U. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Naveira U. ↓, Molina E. ↑,
55', Efremov A. ↓, Galvez R. ↑,
60', 0 - 1, Revilla A. ⚽,
67', Blanco C. ↓, Aznar D. ↑,
67', Garai G. ↓, Miranda A. ↑,
73', Uriarte K. ↓, Isuskiza V. ↑,
73', Revilla A. ↓, Bilbao L. ↑,
81', Jelbat A. ↓, Torre I. ↑,
82', Etxaniz J. ↓, Garcia S. ↑,
82', Martinez Ortiz L. ↓, Planas A. ↑,
84', 🟨,
88', Santiago P. ↓, Bujan U. ↑,
90+5', 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 6).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sestao won 1.

Two teams are playing changeable.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Sestao won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 8:14 (average 0.8:1.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Sestao won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5:6 (average 1:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sestao River
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
17.11.24	Gimnástica Segoviana - Sestao	0:0 ✺
10.11.24	Leonesa - Sestao	1:2 ✺
02.11.24	Sestao - Osasuna B	1:2 ✺
27.10.24	Zamora - Sestao	1:2 ✺
20.10.24	Sestao - Athletic Bilbao B	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.4 TWLWL
- Barakaldo CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
17.11.24	Barakaldo - Ponferradina	0:1 ✺
10.11.24	FC Andorra - Barakaldo	1:0 ✺
03.11.24	Barakaldo - Tarazona	3:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
30.10.24	Lleida - Barakaldo	1:3 ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
27.10.24	Barcelona B - Barakaldo	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
24.08.22	Sestao - Barakaldo	1:1
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
12.02.17	Sestao - Barakaldo	3:2
25.09.16	Barakaldo - Sestao	1:1
07.05.16	Barakaldo - Sestao	3:1
19.12.15	Sestao - Barakaldo	0:1
01.04.15	Sestao - Barakaldo	1:1
16.11.14	Barakaldo - Sestao	1:0

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