Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 21

Date: 23 January 2026, Friday

Location: Municipal de Barreiro (Vigo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub, LaLiga+, Movistar Plus+


	Celta de Vigo B		Zamora

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.25	2.7
	2.28	3.25	2.88
	2.41	3.25	2.9
	2.33	3.38	2.9	Watch
	2.3	2.9	2.8
	2.3	3.14	2.89
	2.3	3.14	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.32 ↑ (2.28)	3.19 ↑ (3.18)	2.84 ↓ (3.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Celta de Vigo B
39.3%

Draw
28.6%

Zamora
32.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.7%

29.2%

30.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42%

28.3%

29.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Celta de Vigo B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Zamora has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Celta de Vigo B than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zamora than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	42.9%	14.3%

Celta de Vigo B - Zamora Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Celta de Vigo B will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Zamora will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Celta de Vigo B (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Carrillo J. B. (G) 26. Rodriguez A. 6. Meixus P. (C) 3. Ribes K. 23. Miller G. 16. Capdevila A. 10. de la Iglesia D. 17. Somuah B. 8. Antanon A. 19. Marcos O. 11. Arcos A.	1. Sobron F. (G) 2. Luengo Herrera L. M. 4. Athuman I. 20. Codina M. 3. Merchan D. 18. Farrell J. 10. Ramos C. 7. Kike 16. Lozano M. 22. Sancho J. 17. Carbonell J.
Substitutes
30. Barreiros I. 21. Bilbao L. 13. Caio Barone (G) 25. Gonzalez M. (G) 32. Khayat A. 9. Marin A. 22. Ndiaye S. M. 14. Oliveras J. 34. Perez H. 29. Sobral M. 4. Vazquez J.	15. Buron L. 14. Claveria P. 6. Garcia M. 21. Lopez M. 23. Lopez S. 9. Losada M. 8. Marcelo A. 19. Monerris A. 13. Pereda A. (G) 11. Romero Morillo A. 5. Ruiz E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
23', Pereda A. 🟨,
24', Ramos C. 🟨,
26', 1 - 0, Meixus P. ⚽,
45+7', 2 - 0, Rodriguez A. ⚽,
45+8', 2 - 1, Carbonell J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Ribes K. ↓, Vazquez J. ↑,
57', 2 - 2, Carbonell J. ⚽,
64', Farrell J. ↓, Buron L. ↑,
67', de la Iglesia D. 🟨,
69', 2 - 3, Kike ⚽,
73', Antanon A. ↓, Marin A. ↑,
76', Capdevila A. ↓, Khayat A. ↑,
80', Carbonell J. ↓, Losada M. ↑,
83', Meixus P. ↓, Barreiros I. ↑,
83', Somuah B. ↓, Oliveras J. ↑,
86', Ramos C. ↓, Garcia M. ↑,
86', Kike ↓, Lopez S. ↑,
90', Vazquez J. 🟨,
90+3', Lopez S. 🟨,
90+3', Marcos O. 🟥,
90+3', Merchan D. 🟨,
90+6', Barreiros I. 🟨,
90+10', 3 - 3, Marin A. ⚽,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1 and 6).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Celta de Vigo B won 2.

Now, both teams are in good form.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Celta de Vigo B won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:2. (average 1.2:0.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Celta de Vigo B won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0. (average 1.5:0).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Zamora	6	3	1	2	8:6	2	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Celta de Vigo B
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
17.01.26	Talavera de la Reina - Celta de Vigo B	1:1 ✺
11.01.26	Celta de Vigo B - Barakaldo	1:2 ✺
04.01.26	Cacereño - Celta de Vigo B	2:3 ✺
20.12.25	Celta de Vigo B - Real Madrid Castilla	1:0 ✺
14.12.25	Athletic Bilbao B - Celta de Vigo B	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 TLWWW
- Zamora CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
17.01.26	Zamora - Tenerife	0:1 ✺
11.01.26	Unionistas de Salamanca - Zamora	0:0 ✺
04.01.26	Zamora - Arenas Club de Getxo	1:0 ✺
21.12.25	CD Guadalajara - Zamora	2:3 ✺
12.12.25	Cacereño - Zamora	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 LTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
30.08.25	Zamora - Celta de Vigo B	0:0
27.04.25	Zamora - Celta de Vigo B	1:1
01.12.24	Celta de Vigo B - Zamora	2:0
20.03.22	Zamora - Celta de Vigo B	1:0
01.10.21	Celta de Vigo B - Zamora	1:0
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
14.02.21	Zamora - Celta de Vigo B	0:3

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