Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 31

Date: 5 April 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Las Llanas (Sestao)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	3Cat, Esport3, FEF TV


	Sestao		Gimnástic de Tarragona

	1	X	2
	2.75	2.63	2.7
	2.7	2.87	2.45
	2.85	2.95	2.55
	2.68	2.92	2.68	Watch
	2.69	2.9	2.68
	2.85	2.95	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.75 ↓ (2.81)	2.87 ↓ (2.94)	2.6 ↑ (2.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sestao
33.1%

Draw
31.8%

Gimnástic de Tarragona
35.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.6%

31.2%

36.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.9%

31.5%

35.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sestao has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Gimnástic de Tarragona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sestao than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnástic de Tarragona than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Sestao - Gimnástic de Tarragona Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Sestao (1.79) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Sestao (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Herrerin I. (G) 22. Etxeberria M. 5. Martinez G. 23. Efremov A. 12. Barandalla M. 10. Martinez Ortiz L. 6. Gomez A. 15. Bustillo M. 8. Garai G. 18. Cordoba A. 9. Aznar D.	13. Rebollo D. (G) 20. Miguel 5. Dufur U. 3. Perez G. 21. Oriol J. 11. Fernandez M. 14. Sanz O. 19. Torres R. 6. Gorostidi A. 23. Concha D. 9. Antonin
Substitutes
2. Alvarez J. 14. Garcia S. 1. Garrido J. (G) 30. Matar P. 21. Miranda A. 7. Planas A. 4. Relu 19. Rojo J. 17. Samperio J.	12. Granero B. 10. Jardi J. 18. Jimenez A. 15. Leal A. 8. Montalvo M. 30. Querol A. 1. Varo A. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
5', 1 - 0, Martinez Ortiz L. ⚽,
14', Cordoba A. 🟨,
18', 1 - 1, Antonin ⚽,
19', 2 - 1, Aznar D. ⚽,
25', Sanz O. 🟨,
37', Garai G. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Etxeberria M. ↓, Alvarez J. ↑,
53', Perez G. 🟨,
55', Dufur U. ↓, Granero B. ↑,
60', 3 - 1, Martinez G. ⚽,
66', Perez G. ↓, Montalvo M. ↑,
66', Fernandez M. ↓, Jardi J. ↑,
70', Jardi J. 🟨,
71', Aznar D. ↓, Samperio J. ↑,
73', Torres R. ↓, Jimenez A. ↑,
83', Cordoba A. ↓, Relu ↑,
89', 3 - 2, Antonin ⚽,
90+2', Martinez Ortiz L. ↓, Rojo J. ↑,
90+2', Bustillo M. ↓, Garcia S. ↑,
90+7', Garai G. 🟥,
90+7', 🟨,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

Recent matches Sestao is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Gimnàstic is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Sestao won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:2 (average 0.7:0.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Sestao won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sestao River
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
30.03.25	Osasuna B - Sestao	1:5 ✺
22.03.25	Sestao - Tarazona	0:2 ✺
14.03.25	Celta de Vigo B - Sestao	1:1 ✺
07.03.25	Sestao - Real Sociedad B	0:0 ✺
01.03.25	Arenteiro - Sestao	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.9 WLTTT
- Gimnástic de Tarragona
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
30.03.25	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Ponferradina	5:1 ✺
22.03.25	Zamora - Gimnástic de Tarragona	1:1 ✺
15.03.25	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Barakaldo	1:0 ✺
09.03.25	Tarazona - Gimnástic de Tarragona	0:0 ✺
02.03.25	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Barcelona B	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
01.09.24	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Sestao	1:1
18.02.24	Sestao - Gimnástic de Tarragona	1:1
12.11.23	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Sestao	0:0

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