Match Info

Serie C - Group B - Round 30

Date: 4 March 2026, Wednesday

Location: Citta di Arezzo (Arezzo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Uno


	Arezzo		Ternana

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.83	3.25	3.7
	1.98	2.98	4.05	Watch
	1.99	3.07	4.25
	1.97	2.97	4.15	Watch
	1.95	2.75	3.9
	1.93	2.9	4.2	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↑ (1.85)	2.99 ↓ (3.25)	4.04 ↓ (4.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arezzo
46.9%

Draw
30.5%

Ternana
22.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.4%

28.1%

22.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.1%

27.2%

21.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arezzo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

The chances for Ternana have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arezzo than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ternana than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Arezzo - Ternana Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Ternana (2.79) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Ternana (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Venturi G. (G) 6. Renzi A. 13. Gilli M. 15. Gigli N. 77. Di Chiara G. 72. Cortesi M. 7. Guccione F. 24. Chierico L. 10. Pattarello E. 71. Cianci P. 11. Varela Djamanca M.	71. D'Alterio F. (G) 20. Donati F. 2. Kurti A. 3. Pagliari M. 17. Kerrigan L. 4. Vallocchia A. 8. McJannet E. 43. Ndrecka A. 16. Garetto M. 18. Panico G. 27. Ferrante A.
Substitutes
30. Arena A. 5. Casarosa M. 19. Chiosa M. 4. Coppolaro M. 26. De Col F. 8. Eklu S. M. 12. Galli A. (G) 78. Iaccarino G. 91. Ravasio M. 37. Righetti S. 21. Tavernelli C. 1. Trombini L. (G) 23. Viviani M.	22. Aramu M. 36. Delibra L. (G) 9. Dubickas E. 10. Leonardi S. 42. Lodovici R. 23. Majer Z. 87. Martella B. 14. Meccariello B. 12. Morlupo A. (G) 30. Orellana M. 80. Proietti M. 5. Tripi F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
31', 0 - 1, Ferrante A. ⚽,
37', Vallocchia A. 🟨,
45', 1 - 1, Cianci P. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Vallocchia A. ↓, Majer Z. ↑,
46', Cortesi M. ↓, Eklu S. M. ↑,
46', Di Chiara G. ↓, Righetti S. ↑,
56', Varela Djamanca M. ↓, Tavernelli C. ↑,
56', Guccione F. ↓, Viviani M. ↑,
59', Cianci P. 🟨,
69', Panico G. ↓, Dubickas E. ↑,
70', 1 - 2, Dubickas E. ⚽,
73', Chierico L. ↓, Ravasio M. ↑,
76', Kerrigan L. ↓, Meccariello B. ↑,
76', Ndrecka A. ↓, Martella B. ↑,
84', Viviani M. 🟨,
86', Kurti A. 🟨,
88', Ferrante A. ↓, Orellana M. ↑,
89', Gilli M. 🟨,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)).

Now, both teams are in good form.

In this match, Arezzo is the team to beat.

We predict that Arezzo will win today's game, with odds of 1.7.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Arezzo won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 1:2).

Including home match between the teams, Arezzo won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Arezzo - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 49.36%, but this team recently wins 80% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SS Arezzo
Italian Serie C Group B
01.03.26	Arezzo - Ravenna	1:1 ✺
21.02.26	Gubbio - Arezzo	0:1 ✺
12.02.26	Carpi - Arezzo	0:1 ✺
08.02.26	Arezzo - Pianese	2:0 ✺
30.01.26	Guidonia Montecelio - Arezzo	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 TWWWT
- Ternana Calcio
Italian Serie C Group B
01.03.26	Ternana - Campobasso	2:4 ✺
23.02.26	Ternana - Forlì	2:1 ✺
16.02.26	Pineto - Ternana	0:3 ✺
12.02.26	Ternana - Ravenna	2:0 ✺
08.02.26	Pontedera - Ternana	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 LWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
25.10.25	Ternana - Arezzo	1:1
10.02.25	Ternana - Arezzo	3:1
29.09.24	Arezzo - Ternana	1:2

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